Why don't solar panels contribute to global warming?

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I've been wondering this for a while but I have not yet encountered an explanation.



This is from my understanding of physics, which is by no means expert, so sorry for my crude explanation:



Energy within earth can be considered a closed system; it transforms but cannot be created or destroyed -- and from what I understand, heat seems to be its most natural form, so it will always end up like that in some way.



Two things affect the total sum of energy on earth: radiation into space will drain energy (and is limited because of the presence of atmosphere). Radiation from the sun adds energy to the system.



Basically the sun is our only real source of energy (and we can consider it limitless, since when the sun is exhausted, we're over anyway).



The way I understand it, solar panels increase the efficiency of how we 'harvest' this solar energy, reflecting less of it back into space, and turning more of it into en energy (in this case, electrical). So we take more energy from the sun by putting solar panels in place. But the amount of energy that is removed from the system stays the same.



Hence the total sum of energy on earth increases (more) when we use solar panels. So how come we consider them to be a way to counter global warming, instead of a contributing factor?



edit: since all answers are about comparing solar cells to fossil fuels, let me clarify a bit more.



I understand that fossil fuels will contribute more to climate change than solar cells -- but I just wanted to clarify that is seems to me that both are a net negative (not if you replace one by the other). In other words, that the idea that solar cells are 100% clean (apart from production cost), is not really true, then. Wind of hydro however, would be, since they use energy that is already present in the earth system. (and of course what we really need to do is require less energy)










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  • 7




    You are correct in noticing that a solar cell will make the planet absorb more energy than, say, a mirror of the same size. But that's the price we have to pay because we want to use/dissipate (useful) energy on earth. Also note that solar cells don't 'attract' energy to the planet; if the solar cell wasn't in place, the sun would just heat up the ground below with more or less the same amount of energy but without producing any 'useful' energy for us.
    – JimmyB
    9 hours ago







  • 1




    If we removed the Sun, we would also lose most of our wind and hydro power - it powers weather fronts and replenishes water sources with precipitation. The Sun is, obviously, a vital part of Earth's existence as we know it, which is why you are correct to observe that scientists take the Sun's existence as a given when saying that solar power is carbon-neutral once the panels are made.
    – Sam
    8 hours ago







  • 1




    @JimmyB But solar cells are darker in color and thus effectively decrease the albedo of the Earth's surface.
    – Michael
    6 hours ago














up vote
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I've been wondering this for a while but I have not yet encountered an explanation.



This is from my understanding of physics, which is by no means expert, so sorry for my crude explanation:



Energy within earth can be considered a closed system; it transforms but cannot be created or destroyed -- and from what I understand, heat seems to be its most natural form, so it will always end up like that in some way.



Two things affect the total sum of energy on earth: radiation into space will drain energy (and is limited because of the presence of atmosphere). Radiation from the sun adds energy to the system.



Basically the sun is our only real source of energy (and we can consider it limitless, since when the sun is exhausted, we're over anyway).



The way I understand it, solar panels increase the efficiency of how we 'harvest' this solar energy, reflecting less of it back into space, and turning more of it into en energy (in this case, electrical). So we take more energy from the sun by putting solar panels in place. But the amount of energy that is removed from the system stays the same.



Hence the total sum of energy on earth increases (more) when we use solar panels. So how come we consider them to be a way to counter global warming, instead of a contributing factor?



edit: since all answers are about comparing solar cells to fossil fuels, let me clarify a bit more.



I understand that fossil fuels will contribute more to climate change than solar cells -- but I just wanted to clarify that is seems to me that both are a net negative (not if you replace one by the other). In other words, that the idea that solar cells are 100% clean (apart from production cost), is not really true, then. Wind of hydro however, would be, since they use energy that is already present in the earth system. (and of course what we really need to do is require less energy)










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  • 7




    You are correct in noticing that a solar cell will make the planet absorb more energy than, say, a mirror of the same size. But that's the price we have to pay because we want to use/dissipate (useful) energy on earth. Also note that solar cells don't 'attract' energy to the planet; if the solar cell wasn't in place, the sun would just heat up the ground below with more or less the same amount of energy but without producing any 'useful' energy for us.
    – JimmyB
    9 hours ago







  • 1




    If we removed the Sun, we would also lose most of our wind and hydro power - it powers weather fronts and replenishes water sources with precipitation. The Sun is, obviously, a vital part of Earth's existence as we know it, which is why you are correct to observe that scientists take the Sun's existence as a given when saying that solar power is carbon-neutral once the panels are made.
    – Sam
    8 hours ago







  • 1




    @JimmyB But solar cells are darker in color and thus effectively decrease the albedo of the Earth's surface.
    – Michael
    6 hours ago












up vote
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up vote
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3





I've been wondering this for a while but I have not yet encountered an explanation.



This is from my understanding of physics, which is by no means expert, so sorry for my crude explanation:



Energy within earth can be considered a closed system; it transforms but cannot be created or destroyed -- and from what I understand, heat seems to be its most natural form, so it will always end up like that in some way.



Two things affect the total sum of energy on earth: radiation into space will drain energy (and is limited because of the presence of atmosphere). Radiation from the sun adds energy to the system.



Basically the sun is our only real source of energy (and we can consider it limitless, since when the sun is exhausted, we're over anyway).



The way I understand it, solar panels increase the efficiency of how we 'harvest' this solar energy, reflecting less of it back into space, and turning more of it into en energy (in this case, electrical). So we take more energy from the sun by putting solar panels in place. But the amount of energy that is removed from the system stays the same.



Hence the total sum of energy on earth increases (more) when we use solar panels. So how come we consider them to be a way to counter global warming, instead of a contributing factor?



edit: since all answers are about comparing solar cells to fossil fuels, let me clarify a bit more.



I understand that fossil fuels will contribute more to climate change than solar cells -- but I just wanted to clarify that is seems to me that both are a net negative (not if you replace one by the other). In other words, that the idea that solar cells are 100% clean (apart from production cost), is not really true, then. Wind of hydro however, would be, since they use energy that is already present in the earth system. (and of course what we really need to do is require less energy)










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I've been wondering this for a while but I have not yet encountered an explanation.



This is from my understanding of physics, which is by no means expert, so sorry for my crude explanation:



Energy within earth can be considered a closed system; it transforms but cannot be created or destroyed -- and from what I understand, heat seems to be its most natural form, so it will always end up like that in some way.



Two things affect the total sum of energy on earth: radiation into space will drain energy (and is limited because of the presence of atmosphere). Radiation from the sun adds energy to the system.



Basically the sun is our only real source of energy (and we can consider it limitless, since when the sun is exhausted, we're over anyway).



The way I understand it, solar panels increase the efficiency of how we 'harvest' this solar energy, reflecting less of it back into space, and turning more of it into en energy (in this case, electrical). So we take more energy from the sun by putting solar panels in place. But the amount of energy that is removed from the system stays the same.



Hence the total sum of energy on earth increases (more) when we use solar panels. So how come we consider them to be a way to counter global warming, instead of a contributing factor?



edit: since all answers are about comparing solar cells to fossil fuels, let me clarify a bit more.



I understand that fossil fuels will contribute more to climate change than solar cells -- but I just wanted to clarify that is seems to me that both are a net negative (not if you replace one by the other). In other words, that the idea that solar cells are 100% clean (apart from production cost), is not really true, then. Wind of hydro however, would be, since they use energy that is already present in the earth system. (and of course what we really need to do is require less energy)







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  • 7




    You are correct in noticing that a solar cell will make the planet absorb more energy than, say, a mirror of the same size. But that's the price we have to pay because we want to use/dissipate (useful) energy on earth. Also note that solar cells don't 'attract' energy to the planet; if the solar cell wasn't in place, the sun would just heat up the ground below with more or less the same amount of energy but without producing any 'useful' energy for us.
    – JimmyB
    9 hours ago







  • 1




    If we removed the Sun, we would also lose most of our wind and hydro power - it powers weather fronts and replenishes water sources with precipitation. The Sun is, obviously, a vital part of Earth's existence as we know it, which is why you are correct to observe that scientists take the Sun's existence as a given when saying that solar power is carbon-neutral once the panels are made.
    – Sam
    8 hours ago







  • 1




    @JimmyB But solar cells are darker in color and thus effectively decrease the albedo of the Earth's surface.
    – Michael
    6 hours ago












  • 7




    You are correct in noticing that a solar cell will make the planet absorb more energy than, say, a mirror of the same size. But that's the price we have to pay because we want to use/dissipate (useful) energy on earth. Also note that solar cells don't 'attract' energy to the planet; if the solar cell wasn't in place, the sun would just heat up the ground below with more or less the same amount of energy but without producing any 'useful' energy for us.
    – JimmyB
    9 hours ago







  • 1




    If we removed the Sun, we would also lose most of our wind and hydro power - it powers weather fronts and replenishes water sources with precipitation. The Sun is, obviously, a vital part of Earth's existence as we know it, which is why you are correct to observe that scientists take the Sun's existence as a given when saying that solar power is carbon-neutral once the panels are made.
    – Sam
    8 hours ago







  • 1




    @JimmyB But solar cells are darker in color and thus effectively decrease the albedo of the Earth's surface.
    – Michael
    6 hours ago







7




7




You are correct in noticing that a solar cell will make the planet absorb more energy than, say, a mirror of the same size. But that's the price we have to pay because we want to use/dissipate (useful) energy on earth. Also note that solar cells don't 'attract' energy to the planet; if the solar cell wasn't in place, the sun would just heat up the ground below with more or less the same amount of energy but without producing any 'useful' energy for us.
– JimmyB
9 hours ago





You are correct in noticing that a solar cell will make the planet absorb more energy than, say, a mirror of the same size. But that's the price we have to pay because we want to use/dissipate (useful) energy on earth. Also note that solar cells don't 'attract' energy to the planet; if the solar cell wasn't in place, the sun would just heat up the ground below with more or less the same amount of energy but without producing any 'useful' energy for us.
– JimmyB
9 hours ago





1




1




If we removed the Sun, we would also lose most of our wind and hydro power - it powers weather fronts and replenishes water sources with precipitation. The Sun is, obviously, a vital part of Earth's existence as we know it, which is why you are correct to observe that scientists take the Sun's existence as a given when saying that solar power is carbon-neutral once the panels are made.
– Sam
8 hours ago





If we removed the Sun, we would also lose most of our wind and hydro power - it powers weather fronts and replenishes water sources with precipitation. The Sun is, obviously, a vital part of Earth's existence as we know it, which is why you are correct to observe that scientists take the Sun's existence as a given when saying that solar power is carbon-neutral once the panels are made.
– Sam
8 hours ago





1




1




@JimmyB But solar cells are darker in color and thus effectively decrease the albedo of the Earth's surface.
– Michael
6 hours ago




@JimmyB But solar cells are darker in color and thus effectively decrease the albedo of the Earth's surface.
– Michael
6 hours ago










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The purpose of solar cells is to generate electricity. This can replace the electricity generated by burning fossil fuels for electricity. The fact that it's becoming practical to run vehicles on electricity means we can also replace the fossil fuels burned to power vehicles, which makes things even better.



But let's concentrated on generating electricity. Your analysis ignores two things, one minor and one absolutely crucial:



  1. The minor point: Generating electricity by burning fossil fuels also adds heat to the planet. For example, only about 1/3 of the energy liberated by burning coal in a coal power plant is turned into electricity; the rest is waste heat.

  2. The major point: Fossil-fuel power plants continually produce CO2.

This post on RealClimate does an excellent job of going through the details. To take an unrealistic extreme case, they assume that solar cells are perfectly black (albedo = 0), and they ignore the fact that real solar cells are sometimes installed on already dark surfaces (such as roofs). In order to generate the current world electricity supply of 2 trillion watts, perfectly black solar cells would add about 6.7 trillion watts due to waste heat. As they point out, the efficiency of fossil fuel plants means 2 trillion watts of electrical power would be accompanied by about 6 trillion watts of waste heat.



So if you replace fossil fuel power plants with solar-cell power plants, you don't really change the waste heat production.



But you do change the CO2 production, and that's crucial, because the heat added to the atmosphere by adding CO2 is orders of magnitude larger than the waste heat from the power-generation process itself. (This is a continuing process: every second you run the fossil-fuel power plants, you add more CO2 to the atmosphere.)




... by the time a hundred years have passed, the heat trapped each
year from the CO2 emitted by using coal instead of solar energy to
produce electricity is 125 times the effect of the fossil fuel waste
heat. And remember that the incremental waste heat from switching to
solar cells is even smaller than the fossil fuel waste heat. What’s
more, because each passing year sees more CO2 accumulate in the
atmosphere, the heat trapping by CO2 continues to go up, while the
effect of the waste heat from the fossil fuels or solar cells needed
to produce a given amount of electricity stays fixed.




(You can, if you like, argue that getting rid of electricity generation entirely -- closing all power plants, solar or fossil-fuel-powered -- would be marginally better than converting electricity generation to solar. But that's a very small difference, and not really an option if you want to continue to have some kind of human civilization on the planet.)






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  • 2




    To be fair, we've had some kind of human civilization on the planet for considerably longer than we've had electricity generation.
    – OrangeDog
    8 hours ago










  • OK, yes -- "modern" human civilization, then.
    – Peter Erwin
    8 hours ago






  • 1




    practical to run vehicles on electricity — as long as they're on land. We're quite far from practical application of electrical ocean freighters (unless nuclear, but that has other problems) or electrical aeroplanes.
    – gerrit
    6 hours ago











  • So to be clear, it's not that the Earth's electric heat output changes drastically, but the energy of the Sun stays longer. Do I have that right?
    – Anoplexian
    4 hours ago











  • @gerrit -- true, but I believe shipping CO2 emissions are a factor of 5 or 10 times smaller than CO2 emission from land-based transport.
    – Peter Erwin
    4 hours ago

















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Solar panels are good for global warming because they cause less (much less) surface heating than harvesting equivalent energy due to burning fossil fuels does.



An oversimplified model



To see why this is consider a (very much oversimplified!) model of what the temperature of the surface should be. In this model we'll just consider incoming sunlight and I will assume that all of this makes it to the surface (this is wrong, but good enough).



Two things happen at the surface:



  • some proportion of the sunlight is reflected and (by the same assumption as above) goes straight back out to space;

  • some proportion is absorbed, and causes the surface to get hot.

Because the surface is hot, it now radiates as a (or as an approximate) black body, and most of this radiation is in the infrared (if it's not, then you probably are not interested in living on this planet, as its surface is visibly glowing).



Unfortunately the atmosphere is not transparent to infrared, so some of the outgoing radiation from the surface gets absorbed in the atmosphere and then reradiated, and some of this reradiation comes back down to the surface. This process is fairly complicated because you need to know what wavelengths the atmosphere is not transparent to, and then solve a bunch of hairy radiative-transfer equations, not to mention dealing with clouds, convection, wind &c &c &c.



But there's a simple, and obvious, physicist's answer: the end result of this process around infrared (what a climate scientist would call 'longwave') in the atmosphere is that the surface ends up a little warmer than you would expect if there were no atmosphere.



(Note I have completely ignored the IR component of the incoming radiation from the Sun, which a proper model should not do.)



So, OK, now we'll consider two adjustments to this model: solar panels, and burning fossil fuels.



Solar panels



Solar panels capture some of the visible / UV light from the Sun, and turn it into infrared (via running machines &c and ultimately heating). It's not completely obvious whether solar panels lower or raise the proportion of incoming sunlight which is reflected directly (do they have higher or lower albedo than the surface they covered in other words) but lets assume they lower it, so their net result is to lower the albedo of the surface and to increase the amount of infrared being radiated. This then increases the surface temperature slightly.



Fossil fuels



These do nothing to the albedo, (actually, they do: they lower it due to soot, but they also dump soot into the atmosphere which makes it less transparent to visible light and this is all a complicated process which we will ignore but which matters a lot in fact). They create two things:



  • approximately the same amount of infrared as solar panels for the same amount of energy, which slightly heats the surface (this heating comes from energy previously trapped in the fossil fuels, and captured there long ago from the Sun);


  • $mathrmCO_2$, in large quantities.

Unfortunately $mathrmCO_2$ is one of the components of the atmosphere which absorbs and reradiates infrared, and so this emission of $mathrmCO_2$ increases the surface temperature by the process roughly described above.



Which causes more surface heating?



To know which of these causes more heating you have to actually model the system in some reasonable detail (and it's just because these models end up as rather complicated that allows denialists a way in). But one way in is to compare the amount of energy coming from the Sun (and being radiated back) and the energy humans generate.



The solar constant, which is the flux of power from the Sun crossing the Earth's orbit is about $1360,mathrmW/m^2$, and this means that the amount of power the Sun delivers to the Earth at the top of the atmosphere is about $1.7times 10^17,mathrmW$. Human power generation in 2013 was about $1.8times 10^13,mathrmW$.



This means that the energy flux from the Sun is about $10^4$ times bigger than human power generation: even a relatively tiny change in how much of this contributes to surface heating will completely dwarf any heating due to human power generation. Another way of thinking about this is that all human power generation is about $0.04,mathrmW/m^2$. The imbalances in solar flux due to changes in greenhouse gasses are of the order of $1,mathrmW/m^2$: far more.



The simple-minded blackbody model



Another way of seeing this is to consider a mindless blackbody model: assume there is no atmosphere and that the Earth is a perfect blackbody being illuminated by the Sun: what would its temperature be. Well a little thought shows you that it would sit at a temperature of



$$T_S = left(fracF4sigmaright)^frac14$$



Where $F$ is the incoming solar flux, and $sigma$ is the Stefan-Boltzmann constant. And this turns out to be $278,mathrmK$, or about $5,mathrmC$. This is colder than it really is on average but it's a decent first estimate.



So now, let's do it for human power generation. The formula here is



$$T_H = left(fracH4pi R^2sigmaright)^frac14$$



Where $H$ is human power generation and $R$ is the radius of the Earth.



And this is about $28,mathrmK$. And remember energy flux goes as the fourth power of temperature ($sigma T^4$): human power generation is not anywhere near warming the planet significantly. You can easily see this by considering the difference between a planet warmed entirely by the Sun and one where human power generation is added:



$$
beginalign
Delta T &= left(fracF4sigma
+ fracH4pi R^2sigmaright)^frac14
- left(fracF4sigmaright)^frac14\
&approx 0.007,mathrmK
endalign
$$



This is completely negligible.






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  • 2




    One small quibble on an excellent answer. You say "Unfortunately the atmosphere is not transparent to infrared." Actually, it's very lucky the atmosphere is not transparent to infrared, because it it were, we would be living on a frozen, uninhabitable planet.
    – Peter Shor
    9 hours ago







  • 2




    @PeterShor: good point. I meant 'unfortunately, since it makes the sums harder' really!
    – tfb
    6 hours ago

















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Simple back-of-the-envelope calculation:



This figure shows our best estimates of the radiative forcing from different anthropogenic (human-caused) phenomena:



Radiative forcing figure



It shows that the radiative forcing from anthropogenic $mathrmCO_2$ is the largest component at approximately $1.5 ,mathrmW/m^2$.



The total world electricity generation is approximately $25000$ TWh/year. This is approximately $2.9 ,mathrmTW = 2.9cdot 10^12 ,mathrmW$ . The toal surface area of Earth is approximately $510 ,mathrmmillion ,km^2$, which is $510 ,mathrmtrillion ,m^2 = 510cdot 10^12 ,mathrmm^2$. So if all electricity generation produced $100%$ waste heat, the radiative forcing from this would be:



$$
frac2.9cdot 10^12 ,mathrmW510cdot 10^12 ,mathrmm^2 = frac2.9510 ,mathrmW/m^2 approx 0.0057 ,mathrmW/m^2
$$



Now, efficiencies for commercial photovoltaic panels currently does not go much higher than $20%$, so if we want to do a worst case calculation, we might want to multiply that number by a factor of $5$. This gives $sim 0.03 ,mathrmW/m^2$. This is still a factor of $50$ smaller than the radiative forcing from anthropogenic $mathrmCO_2$ at current levels.



Conclusion:



This was just a simple calculation to show that waste heat from electricity generation is a negligible contribution to global climate change, even if we change all electricity generation to photovoltaics. And this calculation doesn't even bother to take into account that photovoltaics don't absorb all light, that the surface they are placed on also absorbed some light, or that many alternative sources for electricty (most notably fossil fuel combustion and nuclear power) also generate waste heat. If we did that, the net waste heat radiative forcing from switching all electricity generation to photovoltaics would be even more negligible.






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  • If we compare 20% efficient PV cells against a baseline of 100% waste heat, we should multiply that figure by 0.8, not by 5.
    – gerrit
    6 hours ago

















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3
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The benefit of a solar panel power plant as a replacement for coal(or other fossil fuel) power plant is manifold:



1) less fossil fuel is burned, so it can be used differently, for example as a source of various organic chemicals;



2) much less pollution of the environment near the plant;



3) mere operation of a solar panel releases little to no greenhouse gases



...



That said, manufacturing, installing and maintaining solar panels does produce greenhouse gases and pollution. Solar panel has a lifetime, after which a new one has to be manufactured and the old one disposed off. The pollution may be much better than burning the fossils, but it depends on how the life cycle of the panels is managed.




(I understand it's still better than burning fossil fuels, but I still think it's a net negative)




I think this is correct. Most electrical energy from the power grid, when consumed, contributes to heating the planet (synthesis of energy rich chemicals may be an exception but I think the energy thus consumed is negligible when compared to the rest). When 1kWh of useful energy is generated:



  • by burning fossil fuels, much more kWhs of waste heat are released, and also greenhouse gases are released;


  • by harvesting energy from solar radiation, much less waste heat is released and almost no greenhouse gases are released. But, still some waste heat is released.



Energy within earth can be considered a closed system; it transforms but cannot be created or destroyed -- and from what I understand, heat seems to be its most natural form, so it will always end up like that in some way.




Earth is not a closed system. It does exchange energy with the surrounding space, via EM radiation and gravity (tides) and there is also interaction with cosmic particles (solar wind...).




Basically the sun is our only real source of energy (and we can consider it limitless, since when the sun is exhausted, we're over anyway).




There are also fossil fuels, which provide energy without help from the Sun. And there are also radioactive elements like uranium, which are a substantial source of available energy, again without any help from the Sun.




The way I understand it, solar panels increase the efficiency of how we 'harvest' this solar energy, reflecting less of it back into space, and turning more of it into en energy (in this case, electrical).




If you are comparing having a solar panel as opposed to having none, then yes, less is reflected and more is stored on the surface of the Earth.




But the amount of energy that is removed from the system stays the same.




Not sure what you mean here; the amount of energy radiated to space is decreased by introducing large areas of solar panels, because what would have been reflected towards space, will now be absorbed on the surface of the solar panels and partially transformed into electric energy.




Hence the total sum of energy on earth increases (more) when we use solar panels. So how come we consider them to be a way to counter global warming, instead of a contributing factor?




Because it is assumed that the energy they provide will cause people to decrease the burning of the fossil fuels. This will decrease production of greenhouse gases, but not their amount in the atmosphere. So the immediate benefit is in stopping the human-caused increase of amount of the greenhouse gases. In time, the amount of greenhouse gases may even decrease by natural processes (plant/algae growth) and the atmosphere may cool down.






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  • Thanks -- what I meant with 'our only source of energy' is that fossil is, when you look back at it, also solar energy that has been absorbed by flora and fauna (indirectly) and then fossilized and stored for a very long time, right? And which would take an extremely long time to resupply, should we want it to.
    – Joeri Hendrickx
    9 hours ago










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up vote
38
down vote













The purpose of solar cells is to generate electricity. This can replace the electricity generated by burning fossil fuels for electricity. The fact that it's becoming practical to run vehicles on electricity means we can also replace the fossil fuels burned to power vehicles, which makes things even better.



But let's concentrated on generating electricity. Your analysis ignores two things, one minor and one absolutely crucial:



  1. The minor point: Generating electricity by burning fossil fuels also adds heat to the planet. For example, only about 1/3 of the energy liberated by burning coal in a coal power plant is turned into electricity; the rest is waste heat.

  2. The major point: Fossil-fuel power plants continually produce CO2.

This post on RealClimate does an excellent job of going through the details. To take an unrealistic extreme case, they assume that solar cells are perfectly black (albedo = 0), and they ignore the fact that real solar cells are sometimes installed on already dark surfaces (such as roofs). In order to generate the current world electricity supply of 2 trillion watts, perfectly black solar cells would add about 6.7 trillion watts due to waste heat. As they point out, the efficiency of fossil fuel plants means 2 trillion watts of electrical power would be accompanied by about 6 trillion watts of waste heat.



So if you replace fossil fuel power plants with solar-cell power plants, you don't really change the waste heat production.



But you do change the CO2 production, and that's crucial, because the heat added to the atmosphere by adding CO2 is orders of magnitude larger than the waste heat from the power-generation process itself. (This is a continuing process: every second you run the fossil-fuel power plants, you add more CO2 to the atmosphere.)




... by the time a hundred years have passed, the heat trapped each
year from the CO2 emitted by using coal instead of solar energy to
produce electricity is 125 times the effect of the fossil fuel waste
heat. And remember that the incremental waste heat from switching to
solar cells is even smaller than the fossil fuel waste heat. What’s
more, because each passing year sees more CO2 accumulate in the
atmosphere, the heat trapping by CO2 continues to go up, while the
effect of the waste heat from the fossil fuels or solar cells needed
to produce a given amount of electricity stays fixed.




(You can, if you like, argue that getting rid of electricity generation entirely -- closing all power plants, solar or fossil-fuel-powered -- would be marginally better than converting electricity generation to solar. But that's a very small difference, and not really an option if you want to continue to have some kind of human civilization on the planet.)






share|cite|improve this answer


















  • 2




    To be fair, we've had some kind of human civilization on the planet for considerably longer than we've had electricity generation.
    – OrangeDog
    8 hours ago










  • OK, yes -- "modern" human civilization, then.
    – Peter Erwin
    8 hours ago






  • 1




    practical to run vehicles on electricity — as long as they're on land. We're quite far from practical application of electrical ocean freighters (unless nuclear, but that has other problems) or electrical aeroplanes.
    – gerrit
    6 hours ago











  • So to be clear, it's not that the Earth's electric heat output changes drastically, but the energy of the Sun stays longer. Do I have that right?
    – Anoplexian
    4 hours ago











  • @gerrit -- true, but I believe shipping CO2 emissions are a factor of 5 or 10 times smaller than CO2 emission from land-based transport.
    – Peter Erwin
    4 hours ago














up vote
38
down vote













The purpose of solar cells is to generate electricity. This can replace the electricity generated by burning fossil fuels for electricity. The fact that it's becoming practical to run vehicles on electricity means we can also replace the fossil fuels burned to power vehicles, which makes things even better.



But let's concentrated on generating electricity. Your analysis ignores two things, one minor and one absolutely crucial:



  1. The minor point: Generating electricity by burning fossil fuels also adds heat to the planet. For example, only about 1/3 of the energy liberated by burning coal in a coal power plant is turned into electricity; the rest is waste heat.

  2. The major point: Fossil-fuel power plants continually produce CO2.

This post on RealClimate does an excellent job of going through the details. To take an unrealistic extreme case, they assume that solar cells are perfectly black (albedo = 0), and they ignore the fact that real solar cells are sometimes installed on already dark surfaces (such as roofs). In order to generate the current world electricity supply of 2 trillion watts, perfectly black solar cells would add about 6.7 trillion watts due to waste heat. As they point out, the efficiency of fossil fuel plants means 2 trillion watts of electrical power would be accompanied by about 6 trillion watts of waste heat.



So if you replace fossil fuel power plants with solar-cell power plants, you don't really change the waste heat production.



But you do change the CO2 production, and that's crucial, because the heat added to the atmosphere by adding CO2 is orders of magnitude larger than the waste heat from the power-generation process itself. (This is a continuing process: every second you run the fossil-fuel power plants, you add more CO2 to the atmosphere.)




... by the time a hundred years have passed, the heat trapped each
year from the CO2 emitted by using coal instead of solar energy to
produce electricity is 125 times the effect of the fossil fuel waste
heat. And remember that the incremental waste heat from switching to
solar cells is even smaller than the fossil fuel waste heat. What’s
more, because each passing year sees more CO2 accumulate in the
atmosphere, the heat trapping by CO2 continues to go up, while the
effect of the waste heat from the fossil fuels or solar cells needed
to produce a given amount of electricity stays fixed.




(You can, if you like, argue that getting rid of electricity generation entirely -- closing all power plants, solar or fossil-fuel-powered -- would be marginally better than converting electricity generation to solar. But that's a very small difference, and not really an option if you want to continue to have some kind of human civilization on the planet.)






share|cite|improve this answer


















  • 2




    To be fair, we've had some kind of human civilization on the planet for considerably longer than we've had electricity generation.
    – OrangeDog
    8 hours ago










  • OK, yes -- "modern" human civilization, then.
    – Peter Erwin
    8 hours ago






  • 1




    practical to run vehicles on electricity — as long as they're on land. We're quite far from practical application of electrical ocean freighters (unless nuclear, but that has other problems) or electrical aeroplanes.
    – gerrit
    6 hours ago











  • So to be clear, it's not that the Earth's electric heat output changes drastically, but the energy of the Sun stays longer. Do I have that right?
    – Anoplexian
    4 hours ago











  • @gerrit -- true, but I believe shipping CO2 emissions are a factor of 5 or 10 times smaller than CO2 emission from land-based transport.
    – Peter Erwin
    4 hours ago












up vote
38
down vote










up vote
38
down vote









The purpose of solar cells is to generate electricity. This can replace the electricity generated by burning fossil fuels for electricity. The fact that it's becoming practical to run vehicles on electricity means we can also replace the fossil fuels burned to power vehicles, which makes things even better.



But let's concentrated on generating electricity. Your analysis ignores two things, one minor and one absolutely crucial:



  1. The minor point: Generating electricity by burning fossil fuels also adds heat to the planet. For example, only about 1/3 of the energy liberated by burning coal in a coal power plant is turned into electricity; the rest is waste heat.

  2. The major point: Fossil-fuel power plants continually produce CO2.

This post on RealClimate does an excellent job of going through the details. To take an unrealistic extreme case, they assume that solar cells are perfectly black (albedo = 0), and they ignore the fact that real solar cells are sometimes installed on already dark surfaces (such as roofs). In order to generate the current world electricity supply of 2 trillion watts, perfectly black solar cells would add about 6.7 trillion watts due to waste heat. As they point out, the efficiency of fossil fuel plants means 2 trillion watts of electrical power would be accompanied by about 6 trillion watts of waste heat.



So if you replace fossil fuel power plants with solar-cell power plants, you don't really change the waste heat production.



But you do change the CO2 production, and that's crucial, because the heat added to the atmosphere by adding CO2 is orders of magnitude larger than the waste heat from the power-generation process itself. (This is a continuing process: every second you run the fossil-fuel power plants, you add more CO2 to the atmosphere.)




... by the time a hundred years have passed, the heat trapped each
year from the CO2 emitted by using coal instead of solar energy to
produce electricity is 125 times the effect of the fossil fuel waste
heat. And remember that the incremental waste heat from switching to
solar cells is even smaller than the fossil fuel waste heat. What’s
more, because each passing year sees more CO2 accumulate in the
atmosphere, the heat trapping by CO2 continues to go up, while the
effect of the waste heat from the fossil fuels or solar cells needed
to produce a given amount of electricity stays fixed.




(You can, if you like, argue that getting rid of electricity generation entirely -- closing all power plants, solar or fossil-fuel-powered -- would be marginally better than converting electricity generation to solar. But that's a very small difference, and not really an option if you want to continue to have some kind of human civilization on the planet.)






share|cite|improve this answer














The purpose of solar cells is to generate electricity. This can replace the electricity generated by burning fossil fuels for electricity. The fact that it's becoming practical to run vehicles on electricity means we can also replace the fossil fuels burned to power vehicles, which makes things even better.



But let's concentrated on generating electricity. Your analysis ignores two things, one minor and one absolutely crucial:



  1. The minor point: Generating electricity by burning fossil fuels also adds heat to the planet. For example, only about 1/3 of the energy liberated by burning coal in a coal power plant is turned into electricity; the rest is waste heat.

  2. The major point: Fossil-fuel power plants continually produce CO2.

This post on RealClimate does an excellent job of going through the details. To take an unrealistic extreme case, they assume that solar cells are perfectly black (albedo = 0), and they ignore the fact that real solar cells are sometimes installed on already dark surfaces (such as roofs). In order to generate the current world electricity supply of 2 trillion watts, perfectly black solar cells would add about 6.7 trillion watts due to waste heat. As they point out, the efficiency of fossil fuel plants means 2 trillion watts of electrical power would be accompanied by about 6 trillion watts of waste heat.



So if you replace fossil fuel power plants with solar-cell power plants, you don't really change the waste heat production.



But you do change the CO2 production, and that's crucial, because the heat added to the atmosphere by adding CO2 is orders of magnitude larger than the waste heat from the power-generation process itself. (This is a continuing process: every second you run the fossil-fuel power plants, you add more CO2 to the atmosphere.)




... by the time a hundred years have passed, the heat trapped each
year from the CO2 emitted by using coal instead of solar energy to
produce electricity is 125 times the effect of the fossil fuel waste
heat. And remember that the incremental waste heat from switching to
solar cells is even smaller than the fossil fuel waste heat. What’s
more, because each passing year sees more CO2 accumulate in the
atmosphere, the heat trapping by CO2 continues to go up, while the
effect of the waste heat from the fossil fuels or solar cells needed
to produce a given amount of electricity stays fixed.




(You can, if you like, argue that getting rid of electricity generation entirely -- closing all power plants, solar or fossil-fuel-powered -- would be marginally better than converting electricity generation to solar. But that's a very small difference, and not really an option if you want to continue to have some kind of human civilization on the planet.)







share|cite|improve this answer














share|cite|improve this answer



share|cite|improve this answer








edited 13 hours ago

























answered 13 hours ago









Peter Erwin

34626




34626







  • 2




    To be fair, we've had some kind of human civilization on the planet for considerably longer than we've had electricity generation.
    – OrangeDog
    8 hours ago










  • OK, yes -- "modern" human civilization, then.
    – Peter Erwin
    8 hours ago






  • 1




    practical to run vehicles on electricity — as long as they're on land. We're quite far from practical application of electrical ocean freighters (unless nuclear, but that has other problems) or electrical aeroplanes.
    – gerrit
    6 hours ago











  • So to be clear, it's not that the Earth's electric heat output changes drastically, but the energy of the Sun stays longer. Do I have that right?
    – Anoplexian
    4 hours ago











  • @gerrit -- true, but I believe shipping CO2 emissions are a factor of 5 or 10 times smaller than CO2 emission from land-based transport.
    – Peter Erwin
    4 hours ago












  • 2




    To be fair, we've had some kind of human civilization on the planet for considerably longer than we've had electricity generation.
    – OrangeDog
    8 hours ago










  • OK, yes -- "modern" human civilization, then.
    – Peter Erwin
    8 hours ago






  • 1




    practical to run vehicles on electricity — as long as they're on land. We're quite far from practical application of electrical ocean freighters (unless nuclear, but that has other problems) or electrical aeroplanes.
    – gerrit
    6 hours ago











  • So to be clear, it's not that the Earth's electric heat output changes drastically, but the energy of the Sun stays longer. Do I have that right?
    – Anoplexian
    4 hours ago











  • @gerrit -- true, but I believe shipping CO2 emissions are a factor of 5 or 10 times smaller than CO2 emission from land-based transport.
    – Peter Erwin
    4 hours ago







2




2




To be fair, we've had some kind of human civilization on the planet for considerably longer than we've had electricity generation.
– OrangeDog
8 hours ago




To be fair, we've had some kind of human civilization on the planet for considerably longer than we've had electricity generation.
– OrangeDog
8 hours ago












OK, yes -- "modern" human civilization, then.
– Peter Erwin
8 hours ago




OK, yes -- "modern" human civilization, then.
– Peter Erwin
8 hours ago




1




1




practical to run vehicles on electricity — as long as they're on land. We're quite far from practical application of electrical ocean freighters (unless nuclear, but that has other problems) or electrical aeroplanes.
– gerrit
6 hours ago





practical to run vehicles on electricity — as long as they're on land. We're quite far from practical application of electrical ocean freighters (unless nuclear, but that has other problems) or electrical aeroplanes.
– gerrit
6 hours ago













So to be clear, it's not that the Earth's electric heat output changes drastically, but the energy of the Sun stays longer. Do I have that right?
– Anoplexian
4 hours ago





So to be clear, it's not that the Earth's electric heat output changes drastically, but the energy of the Sun stays longer. Do I have that right?
– Anoplexian
4 hours ago













@gerrit -- true, but I believe shipping CO2 emissions are a factor of 5 or 10 times smaller than CO2 emission from land-based transport.
– Peter Erwin
4 hours ago




@gerrit -- true, but I believe shipping CO2 emissions are a factor of 5 or 10 times smaller than CO2 emission from land-based transport.
– Peter Erwin
4 hours ago










up vote
16
down vote













Solar panels are good for global warming because they cause less (much less) surface heating than harvesting equivalent energy due to burning fossil fuels does.



An oversimplified model



To see why this is consider a (very much oversimplified!) model of what the temperature of the surface should be. In this model we'll just consider incoming sunlight and I will assume that all of this makes it to the surface (this is wrong, but good enough).



Two things happen at the surface:



  • some proportion of the sunlight is reflected and (by the same assumption as above) goes straight back out to space;

  • some proportion is absorbed, and causes the surface to get hot.

Because the surface is hot, it now radiates as a (or as an approximate) black body, and most of this radiation is in the infrared (if it's not, then you probably are not interested in living on this planet, as its surface is visibly glowing).



Unfortunately the atmosphere is not transparent to infrared, so some of the outgoing radiation from the surface gets absorbed in the atmosphere and then reradiated, and some of this reradiation comes back down to the surface. This process is fairly complicated because you need to know what wavelengths the atmosphere is not transparent to, and then solve a bunch of hairy radiative-transfer equations, not to mention dealing with clouds, convection, wind &c &c &c.



But there's a simple, and obvious, physicist's answer: the end result of this process around infrared (what a climate scientist would call 'longwave') in the atmosphere is that the surface ends up a little warmer than you would expect if there were no atmosphere.



(Note I have completely ignored the IR component of the incoming radiation from the Sun, which a proper model should not do.)



So, OK, now we'll consider two adjustments to this model: solar panels, and burning fossil fuels.



Solar panels



Solar panels capture some of the visible / UV light from the Sun, and turn it into infrared (via running machines &c and ultimately heating). It's not completely obvious whether solar panels lower or raise the proportion of incoming sunlight which is reflected directly (do they have higher or lower albedo than the surface they covered in other words) but lets assume they lower it, so their net result is to lower the albedo of the surface and to increase the amount of infrared being radiated. This then increases the surface temperature slightly.



Fossil fuels



These do nothing to the albedo, (actually, they do: they lower it due to soot, but they also dump soot into the atmosphere which makes it less transparent to visible light and this is all a complicated process which we will ignore but which matters a lot in fact). They create two things:



  • approximately the same amount of infrared as solar panels for the same amount of energy, which slightly heats the surface (this heating comes from energy previously trapped in the fossil fuels, and captured there long ago from the Sun);


  • $mathrmCO_2$, in large quantities.

Unfortunately $mathrmCO_2$ is one of the components of the atmosphere which absorbs and reradiates infrared, and so this emission of $mathrmCO_2$ increases the surface temperature by the process roughly described above.



Which causes more surface heating?



To know which of these causes more heating you have to actually model the system in some reasonable detail (and it's just because these models end up as rather complicated that allows denialists a way in). But one way in is to compare the amount of energy coming from the Sun (and being radiated back) and the energy humans generate.



The solar constant, which is the flux of power from the Sun crossing the Earth's orbit is about $1360,mathrmW/m^2$, and this means that the amount of power the Sun delivers to the Earth at the top of the atmosphere is about $1.7times 10^17,mathrmW$. Human power generation in 2013 was about $1.8times 10^13,mathrmW$.



This means that the energy flux from the Sun is about $10^4$ times bigger than human power generation: even a relatively tiny change in how much of this contributes to surface heating will completely dwarf any heating due to human power generation. Another way of thinking about this is that all human power generation is about $0.04,mathrmW/m^2$. The imbalances in solar flux due to changes in greenhouse gasses are of the order of $1,mathrmW/m^2$: far more.



The simple-minded blackbody model



Another way of seeing this is to consider a mindless blackbody model: assume there is no atmosphere and that the Earth is a perfect blackbody being illuminated by the Sun: what would its temperature be. Well a little thought shows you that it would sit at a temperature of



$$T_S = left(fracF4sigmaright)^frac14$$



Where $F$ is the incoming solar flux, and $sigma$ is the Stefan-Boltzmann constant. And this turns out to be $278,mathrmK$, or about $5,mathrmC$. This is colder than it really is on average but it's a decent first estimate.



So now, let's do it for human power generation. The formula here is



$$T_H = left(fracH4pi R^2sigmaright)^frac14$$



Where $H$ is human power generation and $R$ is the radius of the Earth.



And this is about $28,mathrmK$. And remember energy flux goes as the fourth power of temperature ($sigma T^4$): human power generation is not anywhere near warming the planet significantly. You can easily see this by considering the difference between a planet warmed entirely by the Sun and one where human power generation is added:



$$
beginalign
Delta T &= left(fracF4sigma
+ fracH4pi R^2sigmaright)^frac14
- left(fracF4sigmaright)^frac14\
&approx 0.007,mathrmK
endalign
$$



This is completely negligible.






share|cite|improve this answer


















  • 2




    One small quibble on an excellent answer. You say "Unfortunately the atmosphere is not transparent to infrared." Actually, it's very lucky the atmosphere is not transparent to infrared, because it it were, we would be living on a frozen, uninhabitable planet.
    – Peter Shor
    9 hours ago







  • 2




    @PeterShor: good point. I meant 'unfortunately, since it makes the sums harder' really!
    – tfb
    6 hours ago














up vote
16
down vote













Solar panels are good for global warming because they cause less (much less) surface heating than harvesting equivalent energy due to burning fossil fuels does.



An oversimplified model



To see why this is consider a (very much oversimplified!) model of what the temperature of the surface should be. In this model we'll just consider incoming sunlight and I will assume that all of this makes it to the surface (this is wrong, but good enough).



Two things happen at the surface:



  • some proportion of the sunlight is reflected and (by the same assumption as above) goes straight back out to space;

  • some proportion is absorbed, and causes the surface to get hot.

Because the surface is hot, it now radiates as a (or as an approximate) black body, and most of this radiation is in the infrared (if it's not, then you probably are not interested in living on this planet, as its surface is visibly glowing).



Unfortunately the atmosphere is not transparent to infrared, so some of the outgoing radiation from the surface gets absorbed in the atmosphere and then reradiated, and some of this reradiation comes back down to the surface. This process is fairly complicated because you need to know what wavelengths the atmosphere is not transparent to, and then solve a bunch of hairy radiative-transfer equations, not to mention dealing with clouds, convection, wind &c &c &c.



But there's a simple, and obvious, physicist's answer: the end result of this process around infrared (what a climate scientist would call 'longwave') in the atmosphere is that the surface ends up a little warmer than you would expect if there were no atmosphere.



(Note I have completely ignored the IR component of the incoming radiation from the Sun, which a proper model should not do.)



So, OK, now we'll consider two adjustments to this model: solar panels, and burning fossil fuels.



Solar panels



Solar panels capture some of the visible / UV light from the Sun, and turn it into infrared (via running machines &c and ultimately heating). It's not completely obvious whether solar panels lower or raise the proportion of incoming sunlight which is reflected directly (do they have higher or lower albedo than the surface they covered in other words) but lets assume they lower it, so their net result is to lower the albedo of the surface and to increase the amount of infrared being radiated. This then increases the surface temperature slightly.



Fossil fuels



These do nothing to the albedo, (actually, they do: they lower it due to soot, but they also dump soot into the atmosphere which makes it less transparent to visible light and this is all a complicated process which we will ignore but which matters a lot in fact). They create two things:



  • approximately the same amount of infrared as solar panels for the same amount of energy, which slightly heats the surface (this heating comes from energy previously trapped in the fossil fuels, and captured there long ago from the Sun);


  • $mathrmCO_2$, in large quantities.

Unfortunately $mathrmCO_2$ is one of the components of the atmosphere which absorbs and reradiates infrared, and so this emission of $mathrmCO_2$ increases the surface temperature by the process roughly described above.



Which causes more surface heating?



To know which of these causes more heating you have to actually model the system in some reasonable detail (and it's just because these models end up as rather complicated that allows denialists a way in). But one way in is to compare the amount of energy coming from the Sun (and being radiated back) and the energy humans generate.



The solar constant, which is the flux of power from the Sun crossing the Earth's orbit is about $1360,mathrmW/m^2$, and this means that the amount of power the Sun delivers to the Earth at the top of the atmosphere is about $1.7times 10^17,mathrmW$. Human power generation in 2013 was about $1.8times 10^13,mathrmW$.



This means that the energy flux from the Sun is about $10^4$ times bigger than human power generation: even a relatively tiny change in how much of this contributes to surface heating will completely dwarf any heating due to human power generation. Another way of thinking about this is that all human power generation is about $0.04,mathrmW/m^2$. The imbalances in solar flux due to changes in greenhouse gasses are of the order of $1,mathrmW/m^2$: far more.



The simple-minded blackbody model



Another way of seeing this is to consider a mindless blackbody model: assume there is no atmosphere and that the Earth is a perfect blackbody being illuminated by the Sun: what would its temperature be. Well a little thought shows you that it would sit at a temperature of



$$T_S = left(fracF4sigmaright)^frac14$$



Where $F$ is the incoming solar flux, and $sigma$ is the Stefan-Boltzmann constant. And this turns out to be $278,mathrmK$, or about $5,mathrmC$. This is colder than it really is on average but it's a decent first estimate.



So now, let's do it for human power generation. The formula here is



$$T_H = left(fracH4pi R^2sigmaright)^frac14$$



Where $H$ is human power generation and $R$ is the radius of the Earth.



And this is about $28,mathrmK$. And remember energy flux goes as the fourth power of temperature ($sigma T^4$): human power generation is not anywhere near warming the planet significantly. You can easily see this by considering the difference between a planet warmed entirely by the Sun and one where human power generation is added:



$$
beginalign
Delta T &= left(fracF4sigma
+ fracH4pi R^2sigmaright)^frac14
- left(fracF4sigmaright)^frac14\
&approx 0.007,mathrmK
endalign
$$



This is completely negligible.






share|cite|improve this answer


















  • 2




    One small quibble on an excellent answer. You say "Unfortunately the atmosphere is not transparent to infrared." Actually, it's very lucky the atmosphere is not transparent to infrared, because it it were, we would be living on a frozen, uninhabitable planet.
    – Peter Shor
    9 hours ago







  • 2




    @PeterShor: good point. I meant 'unfortunately, since it makes the sums harder' really!
    – tfb
    6 hours ago












up vote
16
down vote










up vote
16
down vote









Solar panels are good for global warming because they cause less (much less) surface heating than harvesting equivalent energy due to burning fossil fuels does.



An oversimplified model



To see why this is consider a (very much oversimplified!) model of what the temperature of the surface should be. In this model we'll just consider incoming sunlight and I will assume that all of this makes it to the surface (this is wrong, but good enough).



Two things happen at the surface:



  • some proportion of the sunlight is reflected and (by the same assumption as above) goes straight back out to space;

  • some proportion is absorbed, and causes the surface to get hot.

Because the surface is hot, it now radiates as a (or as an approximate) black body, and most of this radiation is in the infrared (if it's not, then you probably are not interested in living on this planet, as its surface is visibly glowing).



Unfortunately the atmosphere is not transparent to infrared, so some of the outgoing radiation from the surface gets absorbed in the atmosphere and then reradiated, and some of this reradiation comes back down to the surface. This process is fairly complicated because you need to know what wavelengths the atmosphere is not transparent to, and then solve a bunch of hairy radiative-transfer equations, not to mention dealing with clouds, convection, wind &c &c &c.



But there's a simple, and obvious, physicist's answer: the end result of this process around infrared (what a climate scientist would call 'longwave') in the atmosphere is that the surface ends up a little warmer than you would expect if there were no atmosphere.



(Note I have completely ignored the IR component of the incoming radiation from the Sun, which a proper model should not do.)



So, OK, now we'll consider two adjustments to this model: solar panels, and burning fossil fuels.



Solar panels



Solar panels capture some of the visible / UV light from the Sun, and turn it into infrared (via running machines &c and ultimately heating). It's not completely obvious whether solar panels lower or raise the proportion of incoming sunlight which is reflected directly (do they have higher or lower albedo than the surface they covered in other words) but lets assume they lower it, so their net result is to lower the albedo of the surface and to increase the amount of infrared being radiated. This then increases the surface temperature slightly.



Fossil fuels



These do nothing to the albedo, (actually, they do: they lower it due to soot, but they also dump soot into the atmosphere which makes it less transparent to visible light and this is all a complicated process which we will ignore but which matters a lot in fact). They create two things:



  • approximately the same amount of infrared as solar panels for the same amount of energy, which slightly heats the surface (this heating comes from energy previously trapped in the fossil fuels, and captured there long ago from the Sun);


  • $mathrmCO_2$, in large quantities.

Unfortunately $mathrmCO_2$ is one of the components of the atmosphere which absorbs and reradiates infrared, and so this emission of $mathrmCO_2$ increases the surface temperature by the process roughly described above.



Which causes more surface heating?



To know which of these causes more heating you have to actually model the system in some reasonable detail (and it's just because these models end up as rather complicated that allows denialists a way in). But one way in is to compare the amount of energy coming from the Sun (and being radiated back) and the energy humans generate.



The solar constant, which is the flux of power from the Sun crossing the Earth's orbit is about $1360,mathrmW/m^2$, and this means that the amount of power the Sun delivers to the Earth at the top of the atmosphere is about $1.7times 10^17,mathrmW$. Human power generation in 2013 was about $1.8times 10^13,mathrmW$.



This means that the energy flux from the Sun is about $10^4$ times bigger than human power generation: even a relatively tiny change in how much of this contributes to surface heating will completely dwarf any heating due to human power generation. Another way of thinking about this is that all human power generation is about $0.04,mathrmW/m^2$. The imbalances in solar flux due to changes in greenhouse gasses are of the order of $1,mathrmW/m^2$: far more.



The simple-minded blackbody model



Another way of seeing this is to consider a mindless blackbody model: assume there is no atmosphere and that the Earth is a perfect blackbody being illuminated by the Sun: what would its temperature be. Well a little thought shows you that it would sit at a temperature of



$$T_S = left(fracF4sigmaright)^frac14$$



Where $F$ is the incoming solar flux, and $sigma$ is the Stefan-Boltzmann constant. And this turns out to be $278,mathrmK$, or about $5,mathrmC$. This is colder than it really is on average but it's a decent first estimate.



So now, let's do it for human power generation. The formula here is



$$T_H = left(fracH4pi R^2sigmaright)^frac14$$



Where $H$ is human power generation and $R$ is the radius of the Earth.



And this is about $28,mathrmK$. And remember energy flux goes as the fourth power of temperature ($sigma T^4$): human power generation is not anywhere near warming the planet significantly. You can easily see this by considering the difference between a planet warmed entirely by the Sun and one where human power generation is added:



$$
beginalign
Delta T &= left(fracF4sigma
+ fracH4pi R^2sigmaright)^frac14
- left(fracF4sigmaright)^frac14\
&approx 0.007,mathrmK
endalign
$$



This is completely negligible.






share|cite|improve this answer














Solar panels are good for global warming because they cause less (much less) surface heating than harvesting equivalent energy due to burning fossil fuels does.



An oversimplified model



To see why this is consider a (very much oversimplified!) model of what the temperature of the surface should be. In this model we'll just consider incoming sunlight and I will assume that all of this makes it to the surface (this is wrong, but good enough).



Two things happen at the surface:



  • some proportion of the sunlight is reflected and (by the same assumption as above) goes straight back out to space;

  • some proportion is absorbed, and causes the surface to get hot.

Because the surface is hot, it now radiates as a (or as an approximate) black body, and most of this radiation is in the infrared (if it's not, then you probably are not interested in living on this planet, as its surface is visibly glowing).



Unfortunately the atmosphere is not transparent to infrared, so some of the outgoing radiation from the surface gets absorbed in the atmosphere and then reradiated, and some of this reradiation comes back down to the surface. This process is fairly complicated because you need to know what wavelengths the atmosphere is not transparent to, and then solve a bunch of hairy radiative-transfer equations, not to mention dealing with clouds, convection, wind &c &c &c.



But there's a simple, and obvious, physicist's answer: the end result of this process around infrared (what a climate scientist would call 'longwave') in the atmosphere is that the surface ends up a little warmer than you would expect if there were no atmosphere.



(Note I have completely ignored the IR component of the incoming radiation from the Sun, which a proper model should not do.)



So, OK, now we'll consider two adjustments to this model: solar panels, and burning fossil fuels.



Solar panels



Solar panels capture some of the visible / UV light from the Sun, and turn it into infrared (via running machines &c and ultimately heating). It's not completely obvious whether solar panels lower or raise the proportion of incoming sunlight which is reflected directly (do they have higher or lower albedo than the surface they covered in other words) but lets assume they lower it, so their net result is to lower the albedo of the surface and to increase the amount of infrared being radiated. This then increases the surface temperature slightly.



Fossil fuels



These do nothing to the albedo, (actually, they do: they lower it due to soot, but they also dump soot into the atmosphere which makes it less transparent to visible light and this is all a complicated process which we will ignore but which matters a lot in fact). They create two things:



  • approximately the same amount of infrared as solar panels for the same amount of energy, which slightly heats the surface (this heating comes from energy previously trapped in the fossil fuels, and captured there long ago from the Sun);


  • $mathrmCO_2$, in large quantities.

Unfortunately $mathrmCO_2$ is one of the components of the atmosphere which absorbs and reradiates infrared, and so this emission of $mathrmCO_2$ increases the surface temperature by the process roughly described above.



Which causes more surface heating?



To know which of these causes more heating you have to actually model the system in some reasonable detail (and it's just because these models end up as rather complicated that allows denialists a way in). But one way in is to compare the amount of energy coming from the Sun (and being radiated back) and the energy humans generate.



The solar constant, which is the flux of power from the Sun crossing the Earth's orbit is about $1360,mathrmW/m^2$, and this means that the amount of power the Sun delivers to the Earth at the top of the atmosphere is about $1.7times 10^17,mathrmW$. Human power generation in 2013 was about $1.8times 10^13,mathrmW$.



This means that the energy flux from the Sun is about $10^4$ times bigger than human power generation: even a relatively tiny change in how much of this contributes to surface heating will completely dwarf any heating due to human power generation. Another way of thinking about this is that all human power generation is about $0.04,mathrmW/m^2$. The imbalances in solar flux due to changes in greenhouse gasses are of the order of $1,mathrmW/m^2$: far more.



The simple-minded blackbody model



Another way of seeing this is to consider a mindless blackbody model: assume there is no atmosphere and that the Earth is a perfect blackbody being illuminated by the Sun: what would its temperature be. Well a little thought shows you that it would sit at a temperature of



$$T_S = left(fracF4sigmaright)^frac14$$



Where $F$ is the incoming solar flux, and $sigma$ is the Stefan-Boltzmann constant. And this turns out to be $278,mathrmK$, or about $5,mathrmC$. This is colder than it really is on average but it's a decent first estimate.



So now, let's do it for human power generation. The formula here is



$$T_H = left(fracH4pi R^2sigmaright)^frac14$$



Where $H$ is human power generation and $R$ is the radius of the Earth.



And this is about $28,mathrmK$. And remember energy flux goes as the fourth power of temperature ($sigma T^4$): human power generation is not anywhere near warming the planet significantly. You can easily see this by considering the difference between a planet warmed entirely by the Sun and one where human power generation is added:



$$
beginalign
Delta T &= left(fracF4sigma
+ fracH4pi R^2sigmaright)^frac14
- left(fracF4sigmaright)^frac14\
&approx 0.007,mathrmK
endalign
$$



This is completely negligible.







share|cite|improve this answer














share|cite|improve this answer



share|cite|improve this answer








edited 11 hours ago

























answered 12 hours ago









tfb

14k42747




14k42747







  • 2




    One small quibble on an excellent answer. You say "Unfortunately the atmosphere is not transparent to infrared." Actually, it's very lucky the atmosphere is not transparent to infrared, because it it were, we would be living on a frozen, uninhabitable planet.
    – Peter Shor
    9 hours ago







  • 2




    @PeterShor: good point. I meant 'unfortunately, since it makes the sums harder' really!
    – tfb
    6 hours ago












  • 2




    One small quibble on an excellent answer. You say "Unfortunately the atmosphere is not transparent to infrared." Actually, it's very lucky the atmosphere is not transparent to infrared, because it it were, we would be living on a frozen, uninhabitable planet.
    – Peter Shor
    9 hours ago







  • 2




    @PeterShor: good point. I meant 'unfortunately, since it makes the sums harder' really!
    – tfb
    6 hours ago







2




2




One small quibble on an excellent answer. You say "Unfortunately the atmosphere is not transparent to infrared." Actually, it's very lucky the atmosphere is not transparent to infrared, because it it were, we would be living on a frozen, uninhabitable planet.
– Peter Shor
9 hours ago





One small quibble on an excellent answer. You say "Unfortunately the atmosphere is not transparent to infrared." Actually, it's very lucky the atmosphere is not transparent to infrared, because it it were, we would be living on a frozen, uninhabitable planet.
– Peter Shor
9 hours ago





2




2




@PeterShor: good point. I meant 'unfortunately, since it makes the sums harder' really!
– tfb
6 hours ago




@PeterShor: good point. I meant 'unfortunately, since it makes the sums harder' really!
– tfb
6 hours ago










up vote
4
down vote













Simple back-of-the-envelope calculation:



This figure shows our best estimates of the radiative forcing from different anthropogenic (human-caused) phenomena:



Radiative forcing figure



It shows that the radiative forcing from anthropogenic $mathrmCO_2$ is the largest component at approximately $1.5 ,mathrmW/m^2$.



The total world electricity generation is approximately $25000$ TWh/year. This is approximately $2.9 ,mathrmTW = 2.9cdot 10^12 ,mathrmW$ . The toal surface area of Earth is approximately $510 ,mathrmmillion ,km^2$, which is $510 ,mathrmtrillion ,m^2 = 510cdot 10^12 ,mathrmm^2$. So if all electricity generation produced $100%$ waste heat, the radiative forcing from this would be:



$$
frac2.9cdot 10^12 ,mathrmW510cdot 10^12 ,mathrmm^2 = frac2.9510 ,mathrmW/m^2 approx 0.0057 ,mathrmW/m^2
$$



Now, efficiencies for commercial photovoltaic panels currently does not go much higher than $20%$, so if we want to do a worst case calculation, we might want to multiply that number by a factor of $5$. This gives $sim 0.03 ,mathrmW/m^2$. This is still a factor of $50$ smaller than the radiative forcing from anthropogenic $mathrmCO_2$ at current levels.



Conclusion:



This was just a simple calculation to show that waste heat from electricity generation is a negligible contribution to global climate change, even if we change all electricity generation to photovoltaics. And this calculation doesn't even bother to take into account that photovoltaics don't absorb all light, that the surface they are placed on also absorbed some light, or that many alternative sources for electricty (most notably fossil fuel combustion and nuclear power) also generate waste heat. If we did that, the net waste heat radiative forcing from switching all electricity generation to photovoltaics would be even more negligible.






share|cite|improve this answer




















  • If we compare 20% efficient PV cells against a baseline of 100% waste heat, we should multiply that figure by 0.8, not by 5.
    – gerrit
    6 hours ago














up vote
4
down vote













Simple back-of-the-envelope calculation:



This figure shows our best estimates of the radiative forcing from different anthropogenic (human-caused) phenomena:



Radiative forcing figure



It shows that the radiative forcing from anthropogenic $mathrmCO_2$ is the largest component at approximately $1.5 ,mathrmW/m^2$.



The total world electricity generation is approximately $25000$ TWh/year. This is approximately $2.9 ,mathrmTW = 2.9cdot 10^12 ,mathrmW$ . The toal surface area of Earth is approximately $510 ,mathrmmillion ,km^2$, which is $510 ,mathrmtrillion ,m^2 = 510cdot 10^12 ,mathrmm^2$. So if all electricity generation produced $100%$ waste heat, the radiative forcing from this would be:



$$
frac2.9cdot 10^12 ,mathrmW510cdot 10^12 ,mathrmm^2 = frac2.9510 ,mathrmW/m^2 approx 0.0057 ,mathrmW/m^2
$$



Now, efficiencies for commercial photovoltaic panels currently does not go much higher than $20%$, so if we want to do a worst case calculation, we might want to multiply that number by a factor of $5$. This gives $sim 0.03 ,mathrmW/m^2$. This is still a factor of $50$ smaller than the radiative forcing from anthropogenic $mathrmCO_2$ at current levels.



Conclusion:



This was just a simple calculation to show that waste heat from electricity generation is a negligible contribution to global climate change, even if we change all electricity generation to photovoltaics. And this calculation doesn't even bother to take into account that photovoltaics don't absorb all light, that the surface they are placed on also absorbed some light, or that many alternative sources for electricty (most notably fossil fuel combustion and nuclear power) also generate waste heat. If we did that, the net waste heat radiative forcing from switching all electricity generation to photovoltaics would be even more negligible.






share|cite|improve this answer




















  • If we compare 20% efficient PV cells against a baseline of 100% waste heat, we should multiply that figure by 0.8, not by 5.
    – gerrit
    6 hours ago












up vote
4
down vote










up vote
4
down vote









Simple back-of-the-envelope calculation:



This figure shows our best estimates of the radiative forcing from different anthropogenic (human-caused) phenomena:



Radiative forcing figure



It shows that the radiative forcing from anthropogenic $mathrmCO_2$ is the largest component at approximately $1.5 ,mathrmW/m^2$.



The total world electricity generation is approximately $25000$ TWh/year. This is approximately $2.9 ,mathrmTW = 2.9cdot 10^12 ,mathrmW$ . The toal surface area of Earth is approximately $510 ,mathrmmillion ,km^2$, which is $510 ,mathrmtrillion ,m^2 = 510cdot 10^12 ,mathrmm^2$. So if all electricity generation produced $100%$ waste heat, the radiative forcing from this would be:



$$
frac2.9cdot 10^12 ,mathrmW510cdot 10^12 ,mathrmm^2 = frac2.9510 ,mathrmW/m^2 approx 0.0057 ,mathrmW/m^2
$$



Now, efficiencies for commercial photovoltaic panels currently does not go much higher than $20%$, so if we want to do a worst case calculation, we might want to multiply that number by a factor of $5$. This gives $sim 0.03 ,mathrmW/m^2$. This is still a factor of $50$ smaller than the radiative forcing from anthropogenic $mathrmCO_2$ at current levels.



Conclusion:



This was just a simple calculation to show that waste heat from electricity generation is a negligible contribution to global climate change, even if we change all electricity generation to photovoltaics. And this calculation doesn't even bother to take into account that photovoltaics don't absorb all light, that the surface they are placed on also absorbed some light, or that many alternative sources for electricty (most notably fossil fuel combustion and nuclear power) also generate waste heat. If we did that, the net waste heat radiative forcing from switching all electricity generation to photovoltaics would be even more negligible.






share|cite|improve this answer












Simple back-of-the-envelope calculation:



This figure shows our best estimates of the radiative forcing from different anthropogenic (human-caused) phenomena:



Radiative forcing figure



It shows that the radiative forcing from anthropogenic $mathrmCO_2$ is the largest component at approximately $1.5 ,mathrmW/m^2$.



The total world electricity generation is approximately $25000$ TWh/year. This is approximately $2.9 ,mathrmTW = 2.9cdot 10^12 ,mathrmW$ . The toal surface area of Earth is approximately $510 ,mathrmmillion ,km^2$, which is $510 ,mathrmtrillion ,m^2 = 510cdot 10^12 ,mathrmm^2$. So if all electricity generation produced $100%$ waste heat, the radiative forcing from this would be:



$$
frac2.9cdot 10^12 ,mathrmW510cdot 10^12 ,mathrmm^2 = frac2.9510 ,mathrmW/m^2 approx 0.0057 ,mathrmW/m^2
$$



Now, efficiencies for commercial photovoltaic panels currently does not go much higher than $20%$, so if we want to do a worst case calculation, we might want to multiply that number by a factor of $5$. This gives $sim 0.03 ,mathrmW/m^2$. This is still a factor of $50$ smaller than the radiative forcing from anthropogenic $mathrmCO_2$ at current levels.



Conclusion:



This was just a simple calculation to show that waste heat from electricity generation is a negligible contribution to global climate change, even if we change all electricity generation to photovoltaics. And this calculation doesn't even bother to take into account that photovoltaics don't absorb all light, that the surface they are placed on also absorbed some light, or that many alternative sources for electricty (most notably fossil fuel combustion and nuclear power) also generate waste heat. If we did that, the net waste heat radiative forcing from switching all electricity generation to photovoltaics would be even more negligible.







share|cite|improve this answer












share|cite|improve this answer



share|cite|improve this answer










answered 8 hours ago









jkej

3,744926




3,744926











  • If we compare 20% efficient PV cells against a baseline of 100% waste heat, we should multiply that figure by 0.8, not by 5.
    – gerrit
    6 hours ago
















  • If we compare 20% efficient PV cells against a baseline of 100% waste heat, we should multiply that figure by 0.8, not by 5.
    – gerrit
    6 hours ago















If we compare 20% efficient PV cells against a baseline of 100% waste heat, we should multiply that figure by 0.8, not by 5.
– gerrit
6 hours ago




If we compare 20% efficient PV cells against a baseline of 100% waste heat, we should multiply that figure by 0.8, not by 5.
– gerrit
6 hours ago










up vote
3
down vote













The benefit of a solar panel power plant as a replacement for coal(or other fossil fuel) power plant is manifold:



1) less fossil fuel is burned, so it can be used differently, for example as a source of various organic chemicals;



2) much less pollution of the environment near the plant;



3) mere operation of a solar panel releases little to no greenhouse gases



...



That said, manufacturing, installing and maintaining solar panels does produce greenhouse gases and pollution. Solar panel has a lifetime, after which a new one has to be manufactured and the old one disposed off. The pollution may be much better than burning the fossils, but it depends on how the life cycle of the panels is managed.




(I understand it's still better than burning fossil fuels, but I still think it's a net negative)




I think this is correct. Most electrical energy from the power grid, when consumed, contributes to heating the planet (synthesis of energy rich chemicals may be an exception but I think the energy thus consumed is negligible when compared to the rest). When 1kWh of useful energy is generated:



  • by burning fossil fuels, much more kWhs of waste heat are released, and also greenhouse gases are released;


  • by harvesting energy from solar radiation, much less waste heat is released and almost no greenhouse gases are released. But, still some waste heat is released.



Energy within earth can be considered a closed system; it transforms but cannot be created or destroyed -- and from what I understand, heat seems to be its most natural form, so it will always end up like that in some way.




Earth is not a closed system. It does exchange energy with the surrounding space, via EM radiation and gravity (tides) and there is also interaction with cosmic particles (solar wind...).




Basically the sun is our only real source of energy (and we can consider it limitless, since when the sun is exhausted, we're over anyway).




There are also fossil fuels, which provide energy without help from the Sun. And there are also radioactive elements like uranium, which are a substantial source of available energy, again without any help from the Sun.




The way I understand it, solar panels increase the efficiency of how we 'harvest' this solar energy, reflecting less of it back into space, and turning more of it into en energy (in this case, electrical).




If you are comparing having a solar panel as opposed to having none, then yes, less is reflected and more is stored on the surface of the Earth.




But the amount of energy that is removed from the system stays the same.




Not sure what you mean here; the amount of energy radiated to space is decreased by introducing large areas of solar panels, because what would have been reflected towards space, will now be absorbed on the surface of the solar panels and partially transformed into electric energy.




Hence the total sum of energy on earth increases (more) when we use solar panels. So how come we consider them to be a way to counter global warming, instead of a contributing factor?




Because it is assumed that the energy they provide will cause people to decrease the burning of the fossil fuels. This will decrease production of greenhouse gases, but not their amount in the atmosphere. So the immediate benefit is in stopping the human-caused increase of amount of the greenhouse gases. In time, the amount of greenhouse gases may even decrease by natural processes (plant/algae growth) and the atmosphere may cool down.






share|cite|improve this answer






















  • Thanks -- what I meant with 'our only source of energy' is that fossil is, when you look back at it, also solar energy that has been absorbed by flora and fauna (indirectly) and then fossilized and stored for a very long time, right? And which would take an extremely long time to resupply, should we want it to.
    – Joeri Hendrickx
    9 hours ago














up vote
3
down vote













The benefit of a solar panel power plant as a replacement for coal(or other fossil fuel) power plant is manifold:



1) less fossil fuel is burned, so it can be used differently, for example as a source of various organic chemicals;



2) much less pollution of the environment near the plant;



3) mere operation of a solar panel releases little to no greenhouse gases



...



That said, manufacturing, installing and maintaining solar panels does produce greenhouse gases and pollution. Solar panel has a lifetime, after which a new one has to be manufactured and the old one disposed off. The pollution may be much better than burning the fossils, but it depends on how the life cycle of the panels is managed.




(I understand it's still better than burning fossil fuels, but I still think it's a net negative)




I think this is correct. Most electrical energy from the power grid, when consumed, contributes to heating the planet (synthesis of energy rich chemicals may be an exception but I think the energy thus consumed is negligible when compared to the rest). When 1kWh of useful energy is generated:



  • by burning fossil fuels, much more kWhs of waste heat are released, and also greenhouse gases are released;


  • by harvesting energy from solar radiation, much less waste heat is released and almost no greenhouse gases are released. But, still some waste heat is released.



Energy within earth can be considered a closed system; it transforms but cannot be created or destroyed -- and from what I understand, heat seems to be its most natural form, so it will always end up like that in some way.




Earth is not a closed system. It does exchange energy with the surrounding space, via EM radiation and gravity (tides) and there is also interaction with cosmic particles (solar wind...).




Basically the sun is our only real source of energy (and we can consider it limitless, since when the sun is exhausted, we're over anyway).




There are also fossil fuels, which provide energy without help from the Sun. And there are also radioactive elements like uranium, which are a substantial source of available energy, again without any help from the Sun.




The way I understand it, solar panels increase the efficiency of how we 'harvest' this solar energy, reflecting less of it back into space, and turning more of it into en energy (in this case, electrical).




If you are comparing having a solar panel as opposed to having none, then yes, less is reflected and more is stored on the surface of the Earth.




But the amount of energy that is removed from the system stays the same.




Not sure what you mean here; the amount of energy radiated to space is decreased by introducing large areas of solar panels, because what would have been reflected towards space, will now be absorbed on the surface of the solar panels and partially transformed into electric energy.




Hence the total sum of energy on earth increases (more) when we use solar panels. So how come we consider them to be a way to counter global warming, instead of a contributing factor?




Because it is assumed that the energy they provide will cause people to decrease the burning of the fossil fuels. This will decrease production of greenhouse gases, but not their amount in the atmosphere. So the immediate benefit is in stopping the human-caused increase of amount of the greenhouse gases. In time, the amount of greenhouse gases may even decrease by natural processes (plant/algae growth) and the atmosphere may cool down.






share|cite|improve this answer






















  • Thanks -- what I meant with 'our only source of energy' is that fossil is, when you look back at it, also solar energy that has been absorbed by flora and fauna (indirectly) and then fossilized and stored for a very long time, right? And which would take an extremely long time to resupply, should we want it to.
    – Joeri Hendrickx
    9 hours ago












up vote
3
down vote










up vote
3
down vote









The benefit of a solar panel power plant as a replacement for coal(or other fossil fuel) power plant is manifold:



1) less fossil fuel is burned, so it can be used differently, for example as a source of various organic chemicals;



2) much less pollution of the environment near the plant;



3) mere operation of a solar panel releases little to no greenhouse gases



...



That said, manufacturing, installing and maintaining solar panels does produce greenhouse gases and pollution. Solar panel has a lifetime, after which a new one has to be manufactured and the old one disposed off. The pollution may be much better than burning the fossils, but it depends on how the life cycle of the panels is managed.




(I understand it's still better than burning fossil fuels, but I still think it's a net negative)




I think this is correct. Most electrical energy from the power grid, when consumed, contributes to heating the planet (synthesis of energy rich chemicals may be an exception but I think the energy thus consumed is negligible when compared to the rest). When 1kWh of useful energy is generated:



  • by burning fossil fuels, much more kWhs of waste heat are released, and also greenhouse gases are released;


  • by harvesting energy from solar radiation, much less waste heat is released and almost no greenhouse gases are released. But, still some waste heat is released.



Energy within earth can be considered a closed system; it transforms but cannot be created or destroyed -- and from what I understand, heat seems to be its most natural form, so it will always end up like that in some way.




Earth is not a closed system. It does exchange energy with the surrounding space, via EM radiation and gravity (tides) and there is also interaction with cosmic particles (solar wind...).




Basically the sun is our only real source of energy (and we can consider it limitless, since when the sun is exhausted, we're over anyway).




There are also fossil fuels, which provide energy without help from the Sun. And there are also radioactive elements like uranium, which are a substantial source of available energy, again without any help from the Sun.




The way I understand it, solar panels increase the efficiency of how we 'harvest' this solar energy, reflecting less of it back into space, and turning more of it into en energy (in this case, electrical).




If you are comparing having a solar panel as opposed to having none, then yes, less is reflected and more is stored on the surface of the Earth.




But the amount of energy that is removed from the system stays the same.




Not sure what you mean here; the amount of energy radiated to space is decreased by introducing large areas of solar panels, because what would have been reflected towards space, will now be absorbed on the surface of the solar panels and partially transformed into electric energy.




Hence the total sum of energy on earth increases (more) when we use solar panels. So how come we consider them to be a way to counter global warming, instead of a contributing factor?




Because it is assumed that the energy they provide will cause people to decrease the burning of the fossil fuels. This will decrease production of greenhouse gases, but not their amount in the atmosphere. So the immediate benefit is in stopping the human-caused increase of amount of the greenhouse gases. In time, the amount of greenhouse gases may even decrease by natural processes (plant/algae growth) and the atmosphere may cool down.






share|cite|improve this answer














The benefit of a solar panel power plant as a replacement for coal(or other fossil fuel) power plant is manifold:



1) less fossil fuel is burned, so it can be used differently, for example as a source of various organic chemicals;



2) much less pollution of the environment near the plant;



3) mere operation of a solar panel releases little to no greenhouse gases



...



That said, manufacturing, installing and maintaining solar panels does produce greenhouse gases and pollution. Solar panel has a lifetime, after which a new one has to be manufactured and the old one disposed off. The pollution may be much better than burning the fossils, but it depends on how the life cycle of the panels is managed.




(I understand it's still better than burning fossil fuels, but I still think it's a net negative)




I think this is correct. Most electrical energy from the power grid, when consumed, contributes to heating the planet (synthesis of energy rich chemicals may be an exception but I think the energy thus consumed is negligible when compared to the rest). When 1kWh of useful energy is generated:



  • by burning fossil fuels, much more kWhs of waste heat are released, and also greenhouse gases are released;


  • by harvesting energy from solar radiation, much less waste heat is released and almost no greenhouse gases are released. But, still some waste heat is released.



Energy within earth can be considered a closed system; it transforms but cannot be created or destroyed -- and from what I understand, heat seems to be its most natural form, so it will always end up like that in some way.




Earth is not a closed system. It does exchange energy with the surrounding space, via EM radiation and gravity (tides) and there is also interaction with cosmic particles (solar wind...).




Basically the sun is our only real source of energy (and we can consider it limitless, since when the sun is exhausted, we're over anyway).




There are also fossil fuels, which provide energy without help from the Sun. And there are also radioactive elements like uranium, which are a substantial source of available energy, again without any help from the Sun.




The way I understand it, solar panels increase the efficiency of how we 'harvest' this solar energy, reflecting less of it back into space, and turning more of it into en energy (in this case, electrical).




If you are comparing having a solar panel as opposed to having none, then yes, less is reflected and more is stored on the surface of the Earth.




But the amount of energy that is removed from the system stays the same.




Not sure what you mean here; the amount of energy radiated to space is decreased by introducing large areas of solar panels, because what would have been reflected towards space, will now be absorbed on the surface of the solar panels and partially transformed into electric energy.




Hence the total sum of energy on earth increases (more) when we use solar panels. So how come we consider them to be a way to counter global warming, instead of a contributing factor?




Because it is assumed that the energy they provide will cause people to decrease the burning of the fossil fuels. This will decrease production of greenhouse gases, but not their amount in the atmosphere. So the immediate benefit is in stopping the human-caused increase of amount of the greenhouse gases. In time, the amount of greenhouse gases may even decrease by natural processes (plant/algae growth) and the atmosphere may cool down.







share|cite|improve this answer














share|cite|improve this answer



share|cite|improve this answer








edited 13 hours ago

























answered 13 hours ago









Ján Lalinský

13.3k1233




13.3k1233











  • Thanks -- what I meant with 'our only source of energy' is that fossil is, when you look back at it, also solar energy that has been absorbed by flora and fauna (indirectly) and then fossilized and stored for a very long time, right? And which would take an extremely long time to resupply, should we want it to.
    – Joeri Hendrickx
    9 hours ago
















  • Thanks -- what I meant with 'our only source of energy' is that fossil is, when you look back at it, also solar energy that has been absorbed by flora and fauna (indirectly) and then fossilized and stored for a very long time, right? And which would take an extremely long time to resupply, should we want it to.
    – Joeri Hendrickx
    9 hours ago















Thanks -- what I meant with 'our only source of energy' is that fossil is, when you look back at it, also solar energy that has been absorbed by flora and fauna (indirectly) and then fossilized and stored for a very long time, right? And which would take an extremely long time to resupply, should we want it to.
– Joeri Hendrickx
9 hours ago




Thanks -- what I meant with 'our only source of energy' is that fossil is, when you look back at it, also solar energy that has been absorbed by flora and fauna (indirectly) and then fossilized and stored for a very long time, right? And which would take an extremely long time to resupply, should we want it to.
– Joeri Hendrickx
9 hours ago










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