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Kenyan presidential election, August 2017

← 2013 8 August 2017 October 2017 →
19,611,423 registered voters[1] 50% + 1 vote (nationally) and 25% in each of at least 24 counties votes needed to win
Nominee Uhuru Kenyatta Raila Odinga Party Jubilee ODM Alliance NASA Running mate William Ruto Kalonzo Musyoka Popular vote 8,223,369 6,822,812 Percentage 54.2% 44.9%
President before election Uhuru Kenyatta Jubilee President-elect None (Results annulled)

General elections were held in Kenya on 8 August 2017 to elect the President, members of Parliament and devolved governments.^[2] The reported results indicated that incumbent President Uhuru Kenyatta was re-elected with 54% of the vote. His main opponent, Raila Odinga, refused to accept the results and contested them in the Supreme Court.

The results of the presidential election were subsequently annulled and fresh elections were ordered to be held within 60 days.^[3] It was later announced that a new election would be held on October 17.^[4] However, the results of the parliamentary and local elections remained valid. The date for the presidential election was later changed to 26 October 2017. Despite the ruling for a new Presidential election, Odinga later announced his decision to withdraw from the repeat election on October 10.^[5]

Background

The Kenyan Constitution requires a general election on the second Tuesday in August in every fifth year.^[6] There have been public discussions to move the date from August to December with proponents pointing to fiscal timeline (1 July – 30 June) clashing with an August date because most ministries that support critical election processes will not have been fully funded and that a possible presidential runoff vote may interfere with the national examinations calendar of October and December.^[7] Opponents of the election date change have argued for protecting the constitutional provision and that any change would be mired by legal challenges and might drag on to the next elections and still require a referendum to decide, putting the country's stability at risk.^[7]

On 7 August 2017, one day before the election, Barack Obama, who served as the 44th President of the United States from 2009 to 2017 and whose father, Barack Obama Sr., was Kenyan, called for calm and acceptance of the election results.^[8]

Electoral system

The President of Kenya is elected using a modified version of the two-round system: to win in the first round, a candidate must receive over 50% of the vote and at least 25% of the vote in a minimum of 24 of the 47 counties.^[9][10]

The 337 members of the National Assembly are elected by two methods; 290 are elected in single-member constituencies by first-past-the-post voting. The remaining 47 are reserved for women and are elected from single-member constituencies based on the 47 counties, also using the first-past-the-post system.^[11] The 67 members of the Senate are elected by four methods; 47 are elected in single-member constituencies based on the counties by first-past-the-post voting. Parties are then assigned a share of 16 seats for women, two for youth and two for disabled people based on their seat share.^[12]

Party primaries

The Independent Electoral and Boundaries Commission set the duration for political parties to conduct their primaries in April 2017 following the review of Kenya's Election Laws. Parties would have 14 days between 20 April and 2 May to conduct their primaries and submit their candidates to the electoral commission.^[13]

Pre-election violence

William Ruto home siege

On 29 July 2017, Deputy President William Ruto's house was attacked by a local man armed with a machete.^[14] During the siege, the deputy president and his family were not present. The assailant first injured the guard on duty, held him hostage and then killed him. The siege lasted 18 hours before the Kenyan Police special forces shot the attacker dead. The motives of the attacker were unknown and members of the public were unaware how a man armed with a machete held the elite police forces at bay for 18 hours.^[15][16]

Msando murder

On 27 July 2017, two bodies were found on the outskirts of Nairobi. One of the dead, Christopher Msando, was the head of information, communication, and technology at the Independent Electoral and Boundaries Commission.^[17] He played a major role in developing the new voting system for the election.^[18] His body showed apparent marks of torture before he was murdered for unclear reasons. Alongside it was the body of a 21-year-old woman, Maryanne Ngumbu.^[19] The FBI and Scotland Yard offered to help in the investigation.^[20]

The murder of Msando raised suspicion among the opposition that it was part of a plot by the ruling party to rig the election as it appeared Msando was standing in the way.

Andrew Kipkoech Rono, 58, who was arrested over allegations he sent a threatening message to Msando before he was killed, appeared before High Court judge James Wakiaga.

Results

President

Kenyatta had maintained 10+% lead over Odinga in most polls for many weeks, but the two most recent polls before the election suggested a much closer race.^[21] The outcome was reported as a 9.5-percentage-point victory for Kenyatta.^[22] On 10 August, provisional results released by the Kenyan electoral commission put Kenyatta ahead by 54.2% to Odinga's 44%. The head of the EU delegation Marietje Schaake said there had been no sign of manipulation of the result at central or local level and urged all sides to accept the result.^[23]

The Independent Electoral and Boundaries Commission (IEBC) declared incumbents Uhuru Kenyatta and William Ruto as president-elect and deputy president-elect respectively on the evening of 11 August 2017. The National Super Alliance disputed the results.

By county

Senate

Three women, Uasin Gishu's Margaret Kamar, Susan Kihika of Nakuru and Fatuma Dullo of Isiolo became the first women in Kenya's history to be elected to the Senate rather than appointed.^[24] Kihika was also elected Senate Majority Whip on 31 August.^[25]

National Assembly

Governors

Three women were elected as governors for the first time for their respective counties – Joyce Laboso of Bomet County, Charity Ngilu of Kitui County, and Anne Waiguru of Kirinyaga County. 25 out of 47 governors lost their seats as well.^[26] 29 of the 47 governors are members of the ruling Jubilee Party.

Reactions

Domestic

Opposition leader Raila Odinga alleged that the results had been tampered with by hackers.^[27] At that time, he offered no evidence to justify his claim, which the head of Kenya's electoral commission dismissed.^[28] Following the election, there were protests in Kisumu, Kibera and Mathare where Odinga enjoys major political support, some of which turned violent and deadly.^[27] Odinga published his own results, which put him ahead, and claimed that the commission's IT system had been hacked and that Kenya had seen the worst "voter theft" in its history.^[29] The chairman of the electoral commission, Wafula Chebukati, responded that his organisation was the only body allowed to count votes and that while there had been an attempt to hack the commission, it had failed.^[29] A week after the vote, Odinga announced he would challenge the results in Kenya's Supreme Court.

The Economist did its own count of a small sample of paper ballots, which tallied with the electronic results.^[30]

Kenyatta's reaction incorporated invitations of several world leaders to his inauguration, including: former US President Barack Obama; German Chancellor Angela Merkel; British Prime Minister Theresa May; Italian Prime Minister Matteo Renzi; Chinese President Xi Jinping; Liberian President Ellen Johnson Sirleaf; Nigerian President Muhammadu Buhari; Rwandan President Paul Kagame; Ugandan President Yoweri Museveni; Tanzanian President John Magufuli; South African President Jacob Zuma; His Royal Highness Aga Khan IV; and Nigerian billionaire tycoon Aliko Dangote.^[31]

International

• 
  African Union: The AU mission led by Thabo Mbeki commended the Kenyan people on conducting the election in a peaceful environment. The AU acknowledged the dispute by the opposition, however, Mbeki refused to get involved in the investigation, citing the lack of mandate.^[32]


• 
  Carter Center: The mission headed by John Kerry commended the Kenyan people in conducting the election peacefully. The Carter Center also commended the role of the judiciary throughout the entire electoral process.^[33] Kerry, who initially said he was "confident in the integrity of the Kenyan elections and praised the country's election commission for its transparency and diligence",^[34] later urged that all disputes with the election be handled within the law.^[35]


• 
  Commonwealth of Nations: The Chair of the Commonwealth Observer Group, former President of Ghana John Mahama, declared in the group's interim statement that the Kenyan elections across all six levels of government has been "credible, fair and inclusive". He appealed for continued patience as the results continue to be finalised. On allegations of fraud by the opposition leader, Mahama called for political leaders to show "restraint and magnanimity".^[36]


• 
  East African Community: The EAC mission led by Edward Rugumayo also said that the election conducted was free and fair and that the observer team was also satisfied with the Independent Electoral and Boundaries Commission's response to the hacking claims.^[33] The commission also appealed for patience towards journalists until the final results are published.^[37]


• 
  European Union: The EU observer team deemed the election free and fair, and commended the role of the Independent Electoral and Boundaries Commission. It expressed concern, however, about the high number of spoilt ballots.^[37]

Aftermath

On 13 August, police said a total of 16 people have been killed in recent protests.^[38]

Inaugurations

It was announced on 13 August that the new Parliament would be sworn in on 22 August, with Kenyatta's second inauguration to follow a week later.^[39] However, Kenyatta's inauguration was pushed back to at least 12 September after Odinga agreed to challenge the results in court.^[40] It was later announced that the reconvening of the Kenyan parliament was delayed to no later than 7 September due to a petition which was filed by groups affiliated with the Federation of Women Lawyers in Kenya (FIDA- Kenya) over the new parliament's lack of women needed to meet the two-thirds gender rule criteria.^[41] Despite the FIDA- Kenya lawsuit, the IEBC announced on 22 August that it will publish the full list of elected Members of the National Assembly and Members of County Assembly later that day and that the gender-rule lawsuit will not be heard in court until 20 September;^[42] the IEBC had already published the final results and names of the 47 Governors, Woman Representatives and Senators on 14 August.^[42]

The Standard later reported on 22 August that the Kenyan Parliament will reconvene in the next week.^[43] On 23 August, Kenyatta issued a decree stating that the Parliament will reconvene on 31 August when they assemble to swear in new members and elect respective Speakers and Deputy Speakers.^[44] On 29 August, members-elect of the new Parliament officially underwent the process of registering their political orientation and held their first unofficial meetings in Parliament before being sworn-in.^[45] They then met with respective party leaders on 30 August.^[46] The 12th Kenyan Parliament^[47] was then sworn in on 31 August^[48] and various leaders were elected by members of the Kenyan National Assembly and Kenyan Senate to serve their respective houses as well.^[25]

Supreme Court decision

On 28 August, the Kenyan Supreme Court heard Odinga's arguments for the first time.^[49] Permission was granted to allow two agents of both the ruling party and Odinga's NASA party to audit the IEBC results,^[50] though Odinga's lawyer James Orengo alleged afterwards that the IEBC was denying his team full access to the servers and other equipment that transmitted results from polling stations to the tallying centre despite the court allowing "read-only" access.^[51]

Closing arguments then concluded on 29 August and it was announced that the court would make a decision on 1 September surrounding the results of the presidential election.^[51] It was later announced on 30 August that the IEBC had submitted all result forms for scrutiny to give the Supreme Court a clear picture on how Kenyans voted during the elections.^[52]

On 1 September, the Supreme Court nullified Kenyatta's election victory and ordered that a new presidential election take place within 60 days.^[53]

On 5 September the IEBC set the next presidential election to be held on 17 October,^[54] although Odinga announced that he would not participate in a new presidential election without "legal and constitutional guarantees" against alleged electoral fraud.^[54] However, It was later announced on 21 September that the election would be delayed until 26 October after the IEBC sought more time to reform the voting processes.^[55] The same day, IEBC Legal Affairs officer Praxedes Tororey succumbed to sustained pressure from NASA and resigned from her post.^[56]

Evidence

Evidence was based on examining the 41,451 forms 34A, the 291 forms 34B and one form 34C that represented the stages of vote collection. The court requested the originals of all forms be brought for inspection.^[52]

• Form 34A: 10,438 of the forms, out of a total of 41,451 were missing when the result was declared. Some presented by IEBC were carbon copies while others did not bear the IEBC stamp, and some had the IEBC stamp on a photocopy of the original.


• Form 34B: 10 were illegible, 56 of them had no watermark, 10 of the forms were not signed by the returning officer, and 66 bore no stamp. 31 forms had no serial number, and 32 were not signed by party agents.


• Form 34C: had no security features or serial number. “The form looked like a photocopy”

The NASA opposition claimed this jeopardized 7 million votes when the margin of the result was 1.5 million votes.

On 20 September Justice Philomena Mwilu issued a court statement saying that the IEBC's refusal to provide access and failure to provide information on the IT system's firewall configuration left the court "no choice but to accept the petitioner's claims that the IEBC's IT system was infiltrated and compromised, and the data therein interfered with, or IEBC's officials themselves interfered with the data."^[57] A day before the court delivered its statement, Chief Justice David Maraga said judges on the bench had faced death threats since declaring the election results void, and criticized the police for "ignoring calls to act."^[57]

On 21 September Kenyatta decried the ruling as a "coup."^[58]

Calls to prosecute IEBC officials

On 22 September Mathare MP Anthony Olouch, a member of NASA^[59] who runs a firm called AT Olouch and Company Advocates,^[60] issued a statement to the Director of Public Prosecutions (DPP) Keriako Tobik saying calling for the prosecution of the following IEBC officials: CEO Ezra Chiloba, Chairman Wafula Chebukati, Betty Nyabuto, Immaculate Kassait, James Muhati, Praxedes Tororey (who has since retired), Moses Kipkogei, Abdi Guliye, Molu Boya and Marjan Marjan.^[60] The letter also stated “unless investigation leading into criminal charges and prosecution is commenced within 72 hours [by] this office, our instructions are to institute private prosecutions pursuant to Section 28 of the Office of the Director of Public Prosecutions [Act]."^[60]

Odinga Withdrawal from Second Election

On 10 October, Odinga quit the second election, citing problems with the IEBC and withdrawals from his coalition. Odinga strongly believes he cannot go into another election with no reforms in the IEBC. ^[61]

Doubts of Fair Second Presidential Election

On 18 October recently resigned IEBC Commissioner, who fled to the United States,^[62] issued a statement declaring that the second Kenyan Presidential election would not be a fair election.^[63] The same day, IEBC Chairman Wafula Chebukati expressed skepticism about a fair election as well, claiming the IEBC commissioners were partisan-minded and that he resign unless certain conditions are met to reform the IEBC.^[64][65] On 20 October, the IEBC's chief executive officer Ezra Chiloba announced that he will not be monitoring the election and that starting 23 October, he will take a three-week vacation.^[66] Chiloba's departure has created more uncertainty over who will monitor the election.^[67]

On 24 October, the IEBC announced that it would now count back-up paper ballots and not rush to announce the official results based only on numbers sent from the polling stations like in the first Presidential election as well.^[68] The same day, Chebukati appointed IEBC Vice Chair Consolata N.B. Maina as the IEBC Deputy National Returning Officer.^[69]

Second Petition Filing

Honorable Mwau, Njonjo Mue and Khalef Khalifa files petitions challenging the declaration at Supreme Court on November 8.This act triggers political deadlock and uncertainty. President Uhuru Kenyatta launched his 24- page response stating his legally elected and accuses the petitioners for being used as NASA 'agents'. He also states his acceptance on the verdict made to repeat the elections, and further accuses the Opposition for frustrating IEBC'S capability of handling the elections and attaching the Jubilee administration of interference in the electoral decisions putting it as propaganda.

He further denies claims of sing state resources for campaigning and involvement of cabinet ministers in his campaign, voter influence, intimidation and corruption during the repeat polls.

NASA defended its withdrawal in the second polls through its Chief Principal Raila Odinga. NASA Co- Principal has maintained that the election was a 'sham' and IEBC was at all not independent as its decisions were solmenly made by foreign organs acting as relations officers to the public and the Jubilee Administration.

Kenyatta Inauguration

Despite challenges to his second victory, Kenyatta was officially sworn in for a second and final term on November 28.^[70]

References