Probability of exactly one defective unit

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Assume 5 out of 100 units are defective. We pick 3 out of the 100 units at random.



What is the probability that exactly one unit is defective?




My answer would be



$P(textDefect=1) = P(textDefect)times P(textNot defect)times P(textNot defect) = 5/100 times 95/99 times 94/98$



However, I am not sure whether or not this is correct or not. Can someone verify?










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  • 1




    You can choose the defective in three different ways. Also the number of non-defective units is $95$ not $94$.
    – Thomas Shelby
    Dec 9 at 10:49






  • 1




    Sorry, my mistake, I meant 95/99 and 94/98. But then are you saying that I have to calculate like this: P(D=1) = DDNUDNDUNDD, where D is af defective unit and N is a non-defective unit?
    – CruZ
    Dec 9 at 10:53






  • 2




    Yes. You will get the same answer mentioned below.
    – Thomas Shelby
    Dec 9 at 11:03















up vote
2
down vote

favorite












Assume 5 out of 100 units are defective. We pick 3 out of the 100 units at random.



What is the probability that exactly one unit is defective?




My answer would be



$P(textDefect=1) = P(textDefect)times P(textNot defect)times P(textNot defect) = 5/100 times 95/99 times 94/98$



However, I am not sure whether or not this is correct or not. Can someone verify?










share|cite|improve this question



















  • 1




    You can choose the defective in three different ways. Also the number of non-defective units is $95$ not $94$.
    – Thomas Shelby
    Dec 9 at 10:49






  • 1




    Sorry, my mistake, I meant 95/99 and 94/98. But then are you saying that I have to calculate like this: P(D=1) = DDNUDNDUNDD, where D is af defective unit and N is a non-defective unit?
    – CruZ
    Dec 9 at 10:53






  • 2




    Yes. You will get the same answer mentioned below.
    – Thomas Shelby
    Dec 9 at 11:03













up vote
2
down vote

favorite









up vote
2
down vote

favorite











Assume 5 out of 100 units are defective. We pick 3 out of the 100 units at random.



What is the probability that exactly one unit is defective?




My answer would be



$P(textDefect=1) = P(textDefect)times P(textNot defect)times P(textNot defect) = 5/100 times 95/99 times 94/98$



However, I am not sure whether or not this is correct or not. Can someone verify?










share|cite|improve this question















Assume 5 out of 100 units are defective. We pick 3 out of the 100 units at random.



What is the probability that exactly one unit is defective?




My answer would be



$P(textDefect=1) = P(textDefect)times P(textNot defect)times P(textNot defect) = 5/100 times 95/99 times 94/98$



However, I am not sure whether or not this is correct or not. Can someone verify?







probability






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share|cite|improve this question













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edited Dec 9 at 13:33









amWhy

191k28224439




191k28224439










asked Dec 9 at 10:45









CruZ

436




436







  • 1




    You can choose the defective in three different ways. Also the number of non-defective units is $95$ not $94$.
    – Thomas Shelby
    Dec 9 at 10:49






  • 1




    Sorry, my mistake, I meant 95/99 and 94/98. But then are you saying that I have to calculate like this: P(D=1) = DDNUDNDUNDD, where D is af defective unit and N is a non-defective unit?
    – CruZ
    Dec 9 at 10:53






  • 2




    Yes. You will get the same answer mentioned below.
    – Thomas Shelby
    Dec 9 at 11:03













  • 1




    You can choose the defective in three different ways. Also the number of non-defective units is $95$ not $94$.
    – Thomas Shelby
    Dec 9 at 10:49






  • 1




    Sorry, my mistake, I meant 95/99 and 94/98. But then are you saying that I have to calculate like this: P(D=1) = DDNUDNDUNDD, where D is af defective unit and N is a non-defective unit?
    – CruZ
    Dec 9 at 10:53






  • 2




    Yes. You will get the same answer mentioned below.
    – Thomas Shelby
    Dec 9 at 11:03








1




1




You can choose the defective in three different ways. Also the number of non-defective units is $95$ not $94$.
– Thomas Shelby
Dec 9 at 10:49




You can choose the defective in three different ways. Also the number of non-defective units is $95$ not $94$.
– Thomas Shelby
Dec 9 at 10:49




1




1




Sorry, my mistake, I meant 95/99 and 94/98. But then are you saying that I have to calculate like this: P(D=1) = DDNUDNDUNDD, where D is af defective unit and N is a non-defective unit?
– CruZ
Dec 9 at 10:53




Sorry, my mistake, I meant 95/99 and 94/98. But then are you saying that I have to calculate like this: P(D=1) = DDNUDNDUNDD, where D is af defective unit and N is a non-defective unit?
– CruZ
Dec 9 at 10:53




2




2




Yes. You will get the same answer mentioned below.
– Thomas Shelby
Dec 9 at 11:03





Yes. You will get the same answer mentioned below.
– Thomas Shelby
Dec 9 at 11:03











2 Answers
2






active

oldest

votes

















up vote
7
down vote



accepted










Your answer should be $$fracbinom51binom952binom1003$$ Since we want the total number of ways to choose 3 meeting the criteria over the total number of ways to choose 3 out of the 100.






share|cite|improve this answer




















  • I don't understand why it's 500 instead of 100? But I didn't think of the binomial distribution, thank you!
    – CruZ
    Dec 9 at 10:59






  • 1




    sorry, the 500 was a typo...
    – BelowAverageIntelligence
    Dec 9 at 11:00






  • 1




    @CruZ This isn't the binomial distribution, it's actually called the hypergeometric distribution.
    – Quintec
    Dec 9 at 14:59










  • Ah thank you for clearing that up, my mistake! Cheers!
    – CruZ
    Dec 9 at 18:07

















up vote
7
down vote













Here is a suggestion how to proceed as ordering does not play a role



  • Choose one defective item: $binom51$

  • Choose two non-defective ones: $binom952$

  • Chose any three: $binom1003$
    $$P(mbox"exactly 1 defective") = fracbinom51cdot binom952binom1003$$





share|cite|improve this answer




















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    2 Answers
    2






    active

    oldest

    votes








    2 Answers
    2






    active

    oldest

    votes









    active

    oldest

    votes






    active

    oldest

    votes








    up vote
    7
    down vote



    accepted










    Your answer should be $$fracbinom51binom952binom1003$$ Since we want the total number of ways to choose 3 meeting the criteria over the total number of ways to choose 3 out of the 100.






    share|cite|improve this answer




















    • I don't understand why it's 500 instead of 100? But I didn't think of the binomial distribution, thank you!
      – CruZ
      Dec 9 at 10:59






    • 1




      sorry, the 500 was a typo...
      – BelowAverageIntelligence
      Dec 9 at 11:00






    • 1




      @CruZ This isn't the binomial distribution, it's actually called the hypergeometric distribution.
      – Quintec
      Dec 9 at 14:59










    • Ah thank you for clearing that up, my mistake! Cheers!
      – CruZ
      Dec 9 at 18:07














    up vote
    7
    down vote



    accepted










    Your answer should be $$fracbinom51binom952binom1003$$ Since we want the total number of ways to choose 3 meeting the criteria over the total number of ways to choose 3 out of the 100.






    share|cite|improve this answer




















    • I don't understand why it's 500 instead of 100? But I didn't think of the binomial distribution, thank you!
      – CruZ
      Dec 9 at 10:59






    • 1




      sorry, the 500 was a typo...
      – BelowAverageIntelligence
      Dec 9 at 11:00






    • 1




      @CruZ This isn't the binomial distribution, it's actually called the hypergeometric distribution.
      – Quintec
      Dec 9 at 14:59










    • Ah thank you for clearing that up, my mistake! Cheers!
      – CruZ
      Dec 9 at 18:07












    up vote
    7
    down vote



    accepted







    up vote
    7
    down vote



    accepted






    Your answer should be $$fracbinom51binom952binom1003$$ Since we want the total number of ways to choose 3 meeting the criteria over the total number of ways to choose 3 out of the 100.






    share|cite|improve this answer












    Your answer should be $$fracbinom51binom952binom1003$$ Since we want the total number of ways to choose 3 meeting the criteria over the total number of ways to choose 3 out of the 100.







    share|cite|improve this answer












    share|cite|improve this answer



    share|cite|improve this answer










    answered Dec 9 at 10:56









    BelowAverageIntelligence

    5221213




    5221213











    • I don't understand why it's 500 instead of 100? But I didn't think of the binomial distribution, thank you!
      – CruZ
      Dec 9 at 10:59






    • 1




      sorry, the 500 was a typo...
      – BelowAverageIntelligence
      Dec 9 at 11:00






    • 1




      @CruZ This isn't the binomial distribution, it's actually called the hypergeometric distribution.
      – Quintec
      Dec 9 at 14:59










    • Ah thank you for clearing that up, my mistake! Cheers!
      – CruZ
      Dec 9 at 18:07
















    • I don't understand why it's 500 instead of 100? But I didn't think of the binomial distribution, thank you!
      – CruZ
      Dec 9 at 10:59






    • 1




      sorry, the 500 was a typo...
      – BelowAverageIntelligence
      Dec 9 at 11:00






    • 1




      @CruZ This isn't the binomial distribution, it's actually called the hypergeometric distribution.
      – Quintec
      Dec 9 at 14:59










    • Ah thank you for clearing that up, my mistake! Cheers!
      – CruZ
      Dec 9 at 18:07















    I don't understand why it's 500 instead of 100? But I didn't think of the binomial distribution, thank you!
    – CruZ
    Dec 9 at 10:59




    I don't understand why it's 500 instead of 100? But I didn't think of the binomial distribution, thank you!
    – CruZ
    Dec 9 at 10:59




    1




    1




    sorry, the 500 was a typo...
    – BelowAverageIntelligence
    Dec 9 at 11:00




    sorry, the 500 was a typo...
    – BelowAverageIntelligence
    Dec 9 at 11:00




    1




    1




    @CruZ This isn't the binomial distribution, it's actually called the hypergeometric distribution.
    – Quintec
    Dec 9 at 14:59




    @CruZ This isn't the binomial distribution, it's actually called the hypergeometric distribution.
    – Quintec
    Dec 9 at 14:59












    Ah thank you for clearing that up, my mistake! Cheers!
    – CruZ
    Dec 9 at 18:07




    Ah thank you for clearing that up, my mistake! Cheers!
    – CruZ
    Dec 9 at 18:07










    up vote
    7
    down vote













    Here is a suggestion how to proceed as ordering does not play a role



    • Choose one defective item: $binom51$

    • Choose two non-defective ones: $binom952$

    • Chose any three: $binom1003$
      $$P(mbox"exactly 1 defective") = fracbinom51cdot binom952binom1003$$





    share|cite|improve this answer
























      up vote
      7
      down vote













      Here is a suggestion how to proceed as ordering does not play a role



      • Choose one defective item: $binom51$

      • Choose two non-defective ones: $binom952$

      • Chose any three: $binom1003$
        $$P(mbox"exactly 1 defective") = fracbinom51cdot binom952binom1003$$





      share|cite|improve this answer






















        up vote
        7
        down vote










        up vote
        7
        down vote









        Here is a suggestion how to proceed as ordering does not play a role



        • Choose one defective item: $binom51$

        • Choose two non-defective ones: $binom952$

        • Chose any three: $binom1003$
          $$P(mbox"exactly 1 defective") = fracbinom51cdot binom952binom1003$$





        share|cite|improve this answer












        Here is a suggestion how to proceed as ordering does not play a role



        • Choose one defective item: $binom51$

        • Choose two non-defective ones: $binom952$

        • Chose any three: $binom1003$
          $$P(mbox"exactly 1 defective") = fracbinom51cdot binom952binom1003$$






        share|cite|improve this answer












        share|cite|improve this answer



        share|cite|improve this answer










        answered Dec 9 at 10:55









        trancelocation

        8,9051521




        8,9051521



























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